1. JUNE MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. GOLDEN OPPORTUNITIES
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
1.
WAITING FOR EARNING SEASON TO BEGIN
Unless there are several positive surprises ahead during Q2’s earnings
season, or analysts were too bearish, markets will drift and/or test further
down into August.
If they rally first, we believe that post the July 22nd
Solar eclipse and before the end of summer, STOCK
MARKETS WILL BE LOWER THAN CURRENTLY.
Enjoy your July 4th
ASTRODATES
7/07 LUNAR
Eclipse 5.21 am ET
7/10 JUPITER
conjunct NEPTUNE
7/21 SOLAR
Eclipse 10.35 pm ET
7/22 SUN enters Leo 12.36 pm ET
TRADERS:
Thin, choppy markets, i.e. clueless trading into the July Earnings Season with
a downward bias later in the week partially offset by the short
INVESTORS:
My long term view is well known. Focus on protecting against downside risk and
only buy and hold stocks with sustainable earnings at Deeply Discounted Value
pricing.
Invest
only in stocks at bargain basement price that you are willing to hold until
2011.
Soberly
prepare for the reality of an L (U?) shaped
FAIR VALUE: DOW 8000 NAS 1600 SPX 850
LONG/SHORT
PORTFOLIO: L1/S2
KEY
DATES: JULY 3, 6
DJIA:
8270/8500 PIVOTS 8800
RESISTANCE
SPX:
900 PIVOT
NASDAQ:
1850 PIVOT
XAU:
160 PIVOT
AUGUST GOLD:980 PIVOT S1
960 S2 940 S3 920 R1 980 R2 1005 R3 1035
SEPT SILVER: 14
PIVOT 13.25 SUPPORT 16 RESISTANCE
XOI:
900 SUPPORT
1000 RESISTANCE
DEC
OIL: 70 PIVOT 65 SUPPORT 78
RESISTANCE
The Market
Marker Sentiment into 2010 has Less Volatility and Market Cross Currents.
Stocks Meander slightly ahead and
favor defensive plays. The
2008 CLOSE:
DJIA 8776,
SPX 903 & NASDAQ 1577
2007 CLOSE:
DJIA 13264, SPX 1468 &
NASDAQ 2655
2006 CLOSE:
DJIA 12463, SPX 1418 &
NASDAQ 2415
2005 CLOSE:
DJIA 10717, SPX 1248 & NASDAQ
2205
DJIA:
8 ~ FV 2 UV; 8 offer 4%+ Dividends 4 offer 5%+ Dividends.
THINK
TRADITIONAL SWISS AND PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING AGAINST DOWNSIDE
RISK.
2. We don’t wish to buy anything at this time while markets
are above Dow 8000.
We prefer cash.
Traders may wish to enter a small positional short by Tuesday’s close,
or if conservative, entered or added to, post July 4th holiday.
Still, these will be only small positions or hedges until we
are further into the next earning season.
4. “The worries are still out there. Nobody is ready to get the trumpets out and
herald the end of the recession.”
HW: Not I.
“It’s key for investors that we can see the end of the
slowdown.”
Henrik Drusebjerg, senior strategist, Nordea
HW: But there will be (a lot) more rough patches to come.
“Things will get
worse gradually unless they get worse quickly. “
Alan Auerbach,
economist, University of
HW: The potential
government debt danger is that foreign lenders, spooked by the rising debt,
will send interest rates higher and create a crisis. Fortunately, the new
Market Zeitgeist into 2010 suggests this will NOT happen short term.
5. Insiders
Exit U.S. Stocks at Fastest Pace in Two Years as Market Rallies
Jim Rogers says has no
short positions, selling dollars
Five world markets themes next week
6. READER: From what I understand
from last letters, would be better to wait for the end than june in order to go
in short position rather than to try weakness for long positions, is corrected?
HW: Hard to say. I may try this coming week a small positional trade with a tight stop. It
depends on what sector you plan to short.
Until the second week of July and earnings, this trade would be
a bit of a gamble. On the other hand,
buying later on when the market is weak and undervalued as we recommended when
the market was under 7000, was an easier and lower risk/higher reward trade.
READER: What do the
letters L and U mean as to the markets direction? You also refer to the
letter W as a market direction. Please explain what each letter
means. Is there a location on you wed site that explains all of these
letters (FOMC, etc).
HW: In our FAQ read our Acronyms (6/2009). L, U, V and W refer to the type of recovery
expected, the first is a long haul, the second medium, while V is fast and W is
a stalled or repeat economic decline.
READER: what is
the Five Element Fund? I do not see it on your site. I am very interested in
Agriculture too based on what Jim Rogers has said about it too.....
HW: This is not
a public offering.
READER: ^DJI:
Your September 2009 target for ^DJI noted at around 8000 level. My
prediction is that ^DJI will re-test its March lows of 6470 sometime in Q4
2009. What are your views?
HW: Dow 8000 is
just my FIRST trading target. I haven’t decided what happens beyond that.
READER: I want
to purchase some gold and silver, you advised in your last newsletter not to
purchase during June, seeing as we are now in the low 900 dollars an ounce do
you feel the price has further to fall but also more importantly do you see
July as a more positive month for Gold?
HW: Currently I
see no reason for July to a positive month for gold.
(c)
2009 All
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ASTROLOGERS FUND, INC
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