1. OCTOBER MARKETS
2.
UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3.
GOLDEN OPPORTUNITIES
4.
QUOTES
5.
ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
1. FOMC INSPIRED/ENGINEERED
RALLY
Both short term traders and long term
investors are more likely to find it profitable to use this week as more a time
to buy and not to sell. Next week-election week- could be a very different story.
THE GOOD NEWS: Instead of being a nation of traders, SLOWLY
we can return to being long term investors and receive double digit annual
returns. However, If/when you have good
profits buying quality, take or lock them in.
CURRENT PROBABILITIES
90% Gold $917 and Silver 11.80 by
Christmas 2008.
75% FOMC stock market pre-US presidential
election rally.
70% November stock market correction.
CONTINUE BARGAIN HUNTING EVEN THOUGH
NOVEMBER 2008 IS COMING- Fear is often
the basis of market rallies, but none-the-less, THIS fear has a real basis in
fact.
We continue to
advise to slowly accumulate quality large caps at 8200, 8000, 7800 and 7500, if seen.
Today there are some GREAT long term
stocks buys and not just in large cap precious metals and energy sectors.
ASTRODATES
11/04 Mars Square Neptune, Saturn
Opposite Uranus
11/13 Full Moon 1:17 am ET
11/21 Sun enters Sagittarius
11/27 New Moon 11:54 am ET & Uranus
SD
TRADERS:
Don’t be surprised by an FOMC/pre
INVESTORS:
My long term view is well known: focus on protecting against downside risk and
buy Deeply Discounted Value.
LONG/SHORT
PORTFOLIO: L2/S1.
KEY
DATES: OCTOBER 29, 31
DJIA:
8500 PIVOT SUPPORT S1 8200 S2
8000 S3 7800 S4 7500 R1 8750 R2 9000
R3 9250 R4 9660
SPX: 1000 RESISTANCE
NASDAQ:
1550 PIVOT
XAU:
66 SUPPORT 83 RESISTANCE
DEC GOLD: $917 FAIR VALUE
MAR SILVER --> $12
XOI: 800
PIVOT
DEC
OIL: $67 PIVOT R1
$76 R2 $85 R3 $91
The Market
Marker Sentiment Happy Markets then
retreats to Worry until NOVEMBER 18!
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND
DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
2007 CLOSE:
DJIA 13264, SPX 1468 &
NASDAQ 2655
2006 CLOSE:
DJIA 12463, SPX 1418 &
NASDAQ 2415
2005 CLOSE:
DJIA 10717, SPX 1248 & NASDAQ
2205
DIJA:
4 ~ FV 6 UV; 13 offer 4%+ Dividends 8 offer
5%+ Dividends.
Looking ahead, my question is whether H 1
2009 will show less than 2% growth or be a classical recession?
THINK SWISS AND
PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING AGAINST DOWNSIDE RISK.
2. If you are a
long term investor, slowly buy quality large caps that are both deeply discounted
and have cash and business prospects even in a multi-year global recession
whenever the Dow is 8200 or less.
3. Golden Opportunity
HW: $850 BEFORE
$650?!
Recession Concerns Spur U.S., Europe,
Asia to Untie Budget Purse Strings
HW: Got gold?
10/23 WSNW Alert: WSNW Gold
Entry 2 out of 3 (third is post
|
READER: Do you think now
is a good time to buy gold currently 710 or do you see future dates to
wait for? |
Time- It is a good time to nibble. It can
go to 650 and the safest time is after the
As for gold stocks, if you are not over
weighted Buy quality gold and silver stocks as well as physical and ETF’s
pre-FOMC meeting next week.
Note: Tomorrow can be a RED day for the
HW: So far, so good.
READER: What do expect gold to reach by then? Are you still
standing by your target of $ 1000?
HW: We believe Gold should
reach Fair value pricing which is currently 917. It may or may not go
higher.
4. “The market seems to be
very overdone, almost pricing for a depression.”
Walter Gerasimowicz, chief executive officer, Meditron Asset
Management.
HW: No Dow 6500 prices in a depression, Dow 7800-8200 prices in a
multi-year mild recession.
“The foreign-exchange market is basically saying we are in a
global recession and perhaps a very, very deep one. Any sense of rationality
and fundamentals is thrown out the window.”
Richard Franulovich, senior currency strategist, Westpac Banking
HW: Another death knell for the rational market hypothesis.
"We are starting to see wholesale capitulation. We are headed for some very bad times."
Peter Morici, an economist,
HW: What do you mean “we” white man :)
GLG's Roman, NYU's Roubini Predict Hedge
Fund Failures, Investor Panic
Beware Dividend Traps
Dividend cuts are coming. Here are some likely
culprits.
6. RE:
READER I am searching for this new gold bottom, hope you can help?
HW: It should happen soon
unless it is already here now.
READER: Hard to
argue with Gold:Silver ratio at ~82:1
Gold would have
to correct to $550/oz to get the ratio back in line with $9.00/oz silver.
HW: Yes, but
instead both gold and especially silver will increase a lot more to lower it
closer to the more traditional Gold/Silver ratio.
READER: There are
a number of people who think that the futures market is not representative of
the current physical market. There are a few physical spot transactions
happening at $20/oz for silver even though the futures price is much lower. Any
thoughts?
HW: Yes, if you
owned silver or gold would you sell it at today’s prices? No.
You would hold
back supply until Silver was $14 and gold over $900! This is MOSTLY supplier
valuing gold and silver higher than the market does!
READER:
Henry:Stagflation? Tony:Deflation?
Confusing times
we are living in or what? http://www.dollardaze.org/blog/?post_id=00485
HW: Stagflation.
READER: In Today Big Wild Gold
Bearish Movement, Would you please give us direction where bottom will gold go
to?
Still convinced of your
prediction/ astrological calculation, that Gold will move strongly in Mid
November to end of December 2008?
HW: Yes.
READER: Great
call on the silver. I really do hope gold holds at 700 which likely means that
it won't. FYI - I only got my august order delivered a few days ago. Physical
is hard to come by.
HW: Well
physical gold is like reality- it often doesn’t have a great amount of influence
on the gold market! :)
READER: Good
call. Should test 7883 today or Monday 27th Oct'08.
HW: While
possible, I don’t think so- perhaps
later in November.
(c)
2008 All
rights reserved THE
ASTROLOGERS FUND, INC
"Always a Stellar Performance"
wsnw@afund.com
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