1. DECEMBER MARKETS
2. UP
STARS/DOWN STARS
3. GOLDEN
OPPORTUNITIES
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
1. SELL RALLIES
The question I am asking is:
What sectors should be avoided, what should be accumulated and what
should be bought for H1 2008?
Obviously, stocks that benefit from the Cheap US Dollar, companies
that will take advantage of the increasing economic distress and offer rich
stock buy back or safe high yields have appeal.
Additionally, sectors such as health, food, alternate energy and
precious metals maintain our interest.
I am researching our 2008 buys and hope to be updating several WNSW
subscriber posts shortly. In the
meantime, I see too much RED (danger) ahead in the
TRADERS: Traders Diapers come off December 12.
INVESTORS:
My long term view is well known: focus on protecting against downside risk.
KEY DATES: December 11, 12
DJIA: 13680
PIVOT
SPX: 1510 PIVOT
NASDAQ: 2700
PIVOT
XAU: 175 PIVOT R1 180 R2 190 R3 195
FEB GOLD: 800 PIVOT 840 R1 855 R2 875 R3 900 R4
Market Marker Sentiment
is: TOO MUCH COMPLACENCY STILL- ONLY SANE RESPONSE IS TO
OWN GOLD
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
2006 CLOSE: DJIA
12463, SPX 1418 & NASDAQ 2415
2005 CLOSE: DJIA 10717, SPX 1248 & NASDAQ 2205
DIJA:
0 ~ FV 0 UV; 3 offer 4%+
Dividends 0 offer 5%+ Dividends.
Looking ahead,
my question is whether 2008 will show less than 2% growth or be a classical
recession?
THINK SWISS AND PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING AGAINST
DOWNSIDE RISK.
2. Note we continue to
recommend reducing OIL/Energy sector exposure in H1 2008.
Additionally, we have been
recommending reducing US bond exposure, and where appropriate, substituting,
Australian, Canadian and German Bond weightings.
3.
If
Santa won't bring coal, ask for gold instead
John
Embry on Gold: 'I Can't Think of a Better Time to Buy Juniors'
HW: I agree.
Economic
Slowdown to Hit Commodities in 08?
HW:
After Ben lowers rates December, gold will be set for its record run. My question is what day does it happen by
February 2008. We have a few dates in mind.
4.
"People are saying it's going to
be a close call, but no recession. Or, whatever happens, the bad stuff will be
behind us by March."
Hugh
Johnson, chairman, Johnson Illington Advisors
HW:
Dream on.
"The earnings recession has already arrived. We are
going to see an economic recession in '08."
David Rosenberg, Economist, Merrill Lynch
HW:
It is actually here, but won’t be acknowledged until ’08.
'There are a lot of risks out there."
Jim
O'Neill, economist, Goldman Sachs
HW:
Duh!
5.
Treasuries,
Oil May Foreshadow Bear Market After Yields Tumble
Seventeen
reasons America actually needs a recession
Commodity
Bull Run in `Early Stages,' Barclays Says
6. READER: I have
remembered since several years ago, you tell us, the subscriber, to stay on
gold on $800 or 2008 (which comes first)? Now, Gold has been reaching about
highest on $845, then moved lower circa $770, why do you still recommend us to
invest in Gold?
Now little bit confusing,
should go out in $800 nor stay investing until reach circa $875? Appreciate for
your comments.
HW: We also aid we were long
gold from 8/22 until February 2008. At
our January 31, February 1,
2008 Triple Gold Conference we will update this guidance.
READER: I do not know
on what basis Goldman Sachs
recommended a "sell" on Gold last week? These guys are a bunch of top
notch professionals. I am keen to know the basis of their recommendation of
going short on Gold. I think it is hara-kiri.
HW: Goldman
Sachs does not reveal their internal reasoning, at least not to me! ;)
However, if they are wrong again in their timing (as with oil), we will consider shorting their stock!
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