1. NOVEMBER MARKETS
2. UP
STARS/DOWN STARS
3. GOLDEN
OPPORTUNITIES
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
1.
While the astrology turns less negative short term, I don’t see
the full effects of previously negative news yet built into the markets. While
we woulld reduce intermediate term shorts above Dow 13285, I recommend again
raising cash levels. We advise selling
on rallies rather than buying on dips until it is clear which poison Ben
prefers to drink December 11- lower rates or not collapsing the US dollar.
If Ben lowers interest rates December 11, we will set our Fair Value
for the US Dollar down to .74. If he does not, it temporarily rises to 76.80.
As the Calendar Turns, So Do Many Stocks’ Fortunes
He would have expected an astrologer, not a rigorous econometrician, to claim
that stocks show distinct monthly rhythms, he said, but he began to believe ..
HW: Using actual horoscope and transit data would
improve results dramatically.
ASTRODATES
12/09 New Moon
1211 Jupiter
Conjunc Pluto
1219 Saturn SR
12/22 Winter
Solstice
12/23 Full Moon
TRADERS: Our Trader’s Diapers Alert remains in
affect until December 3rd.
If Dow 12800 essentially holds
through Thursday, Bulls will be buyers.
If Dow 13280 holds as short term
resistance, Bears will not be unhappy.
KEY
DATES: November 26, 27, 29
DJIA: 13000
PIVOT 13800 SUPPORT? 14280 RESISTANCE
SPX: 1418 SUPPORT? 1460 RESISTANCE
NASDAQ: 2600
PIVOT
XAU: 175 PIVOT R1 180 R2 190 R3 199
DEC
GOLD: --> $850
Market Marker Sentiment
is: TOO MUCH COMPLACENCY STILL- Only sane response to own
gold.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
2006 CLOSE: DJIA
12463, SPX 1418 & NASDAQ 2415
2005 CLOSE: DJIA 10717, SPX 1248 & NASDAQ 2205
DIJA:
0 ~ FV 0 UV; 4 offer 4%+
Dividends 2 offer 5%+ Dividends.
Looking ahead,
my question is whether 2008 will show less than 2% growth or be a classical
recession?
THINK SWISS AND PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING AGAINST
DOWNSIDE RISK.
2. Black Friday hardly marks
the end of bad news. However, there could
be a lessening of fresh negative inputs short term. Be that as it may, I am far
from ready to buy and hold.
"The financial sector,
which I would underweight today, might well be a nice overweight position in
the first quarter of 2008."
Sri-Kumar, strategist, TCW
HW: I agree. For example, we
forecast Citibank to be a Q2 2008 star performer. I would consider nibbling and/or doing a
trading buy 30-28. However, our real
investing buys come later in Q1 2008 OCO after its Dividend is reduced and some
more serious debt write downs.
Ditto
for many US Stocks.
We recommend reducing Oil and Energy sector exposure this week..
3.
Maintain long gold Trading stock positions with gold is above $800. First trailing profit locks at or above $850.
4. “More clarification on the
macroeconomic scenario is needed to be positive again on equities. Data point
more and more to a slowdown. We need to be cautious going forward.”
Emanuele Vizzini, overseer, Investitori Sgr
HW: Welcome to the club.
“There’s an old saying that the
bears have Thanksgiving and the bulls have Christmas. This week could be a
challenging one.”
Sam Stovall, chief investment
strategist, Standard & Poor’s.
HW: I thought it was because the current stock
market is a turkey!
James W.
Paulsen, chief investment strategist, Wells Capital Management
HW: Not
for us. We are up 45% for the Q4 2007 to date! [See http://www.afund.com/afundperformance.html. Perhaps you should you should fire your
astrologer!
5.
The falling dollar could hurt your
retirement
More Write-Downs Ahead for Banking Sector
Companies Bolster Sales Abroad to Offset
Weakness
The
success of American firms overseas may help prevent the economy from slipping
into a recession.
6. READER: Nice
call on buying Gold on Monday!
HW: Thank you.
READER:
Do you think Gold will go down to $760 any time soon?
It is certainly possible.
anytime. On the other hand I prefer the bet that $850 comes first. One has to decide if one is trading,
investing or hedging with gold. If not
trading, then $760 would simply be an early Christmas present and another
buying opportunity.
READER: I tried to access the S: Mining section
post but I was denied -unauthorized. Does the Silver level subscription
include access to this?
HW: Yes.
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