WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK
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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: APRIL 25, 2005
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER

1. APRIL MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
7. AFUND LETTERS

1. THREE MARKET FAIRY TALES- DO YOU STILL BELIEVE?
1.    HIGH OIL PRICES DON’T MATTER.
2.    THERE IS LITTLE OR NO INFLATION.
3.    THE US ECONOMY IS STRONG AND HEALTHY.

NO SURPRISE FOR WSNW READERS
·    U.S. Commerce Dept reported that construction of new homes fell by a surprisingly sharp 17.6% in March.
·    Consumer Prices Up More Than Expected.

MORE TALES OF TWO MARKETS
JNJ, TXN vs. GM…. INTC, CAT vs. CA…. YHOO vs. MYG, COST etc. 
With markets having erased 2005 gains (and many investors just “hoping to get even”), do not be surprised if markets are below the key Bush November 2004 election rally start numbers, by this summer, if reality does not strike earlier.

TRADERS:    ITS IS ONLY A QUESTION OF TIME AND PRICE until THE upcoming MMD [May Mother’s Day] rally. At this moment in time, we are still short and would naturally prefer to be buying below 10K and closer to early May.

INVESTORS:     Do a first Distribution/Sell into any MMD rally. Do a second Distribution/Sell into any late May/June rally attempt(s).

HYDE PARK SOAPBOX: DARE WE MENTION THE “S” WORD YET?
Imagine American’s growing financial strength if instead of a nation of consumers who Spend, they learn that a “Penny Saved, is a Penny Earned”…Just Imagine.

KEYDATES:        April 28
DJIA:                   10100 PIVOT
SPX:                    1133 SUPPORT   
NASDAQ:           1900 PIVOT
XAU:                   92 PIVOT 95 R1 100 R2 105 R3

Market Marker Sentiment: First Bullish, then Bearish.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
2003 CLOSE:            DJIA 10453, SPX 1111 & NASDAQ 2003
DIJA:                         3 ~ FV 0 UV; 5 offer 4%+ Dividends.
While the internal Stock Market astrology is mixed, the external risk potential is high. Looking ahead, my question is whether 2006 will show sluggish growth, less than 2%, no growth, or turn into a classical recession.
PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING AGAINST DOWNSIDE RISK.

2. "In the first decade of this century, more often than not, the Canadian market has outperformed the U.S. market. And I expect that pattern will continue and largely because I believe that we remain in a secular bull market for hard assets, oil and gas, metals and minerals, forest products and we have a disproportionate amount of those in our marketplace and we do have a disproportionate amount of them in the indexes." Peter Chandler, vice-president, Canaccord Capital
Chasing Higher Yields Up North

Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge last week said the economic outlook for [Canada] this year and next is "as good as it gets". "We're not sanguine.  What we're saying is that the outlook for 2005 and 2006 is about as good as it gets."
Hence we are on watch to raise our fair value pricing of C$ from .83.”

For our latest northern stock picks and pricing targets, WSNW subscribers are invited to visit our newly updated premium post
S: Canada 2005.

3. Australian Liberal Party lawmaker David Tollner lawmaker is advising killing toxic toads: The best way to stop the spread of the animals is to hit them on the head, as he did when he was a child.  "We hit them with cricket bats and golf clubs and the like back then.” Cane toads, as most WSNW readers know, release noxious secretions when threatened. They were imported to Queensland in 1935 to control beetles on sugar cane plantations. They have since hopped around Australia as far south as New South Wales, killing much of the native wildlife that eat them - particularly the endangered marsupials called quolls.
Please note: animal welfare groups say bludgeoning cane toads is inhumane, and the best way to kill them is to freeze them.
While we are still currently on an $A buy, we will be shorting using protective stops. In fact, it is likely that by the Summer we will be selling the currency. The Reason? It could be due to a Chinese slowdown. Or it could be that high interest rates will have slowed the Australian economy sufficiently to forestall any future rate increases. Or it could just be the astrology of Australia that will do it. We are on watch to our country rating from “Out Perform” to “Regional Perform”.

4. "What we're looking at is a giving up of hope on the part of investors."
Joseph Keating, chief investment officer, AmSouth Bank asset management group
HW: Just wait until 2006.

"Recent earnings and economic data have curbed my optimism. We're at a point where risks have clearly risen.''
 Mikael Naeslund, comanager, Lannebo Fonder
HW:

`The world's not falling off a cliff,''
Tim Allen, a portfolio manager, Wentworth Hauser
HW: May not this year, but 2006 IS COMING!

5. Greenspan says economy is good, warns on budget deficit
Alan Greenspan sought to allay fears that the energy crisis could lead to "stagflation" which is an alarming combination of rising inflation and slower economic growth resulting in high unemployment levels.
HW: True, we could get stagflation instead from the falling US dollar.

Stagflation' lite?
"Investors are very worried about rising rates -- and sluggish growth. Is stagflation a threat?"
HW: You betcha!

The Buttonwood column: share buybacks
"Companies are buying back their own shares in record quantities. In many cases, their shareholders should thank them for it."
HW: Short term yes. However, I believe given high current stock prices, this demonstrates more a lack of management vision and short term pandering to greedy shareholders, than adding long term value to the company."

6. Reader: The challenge I have: I am not USD based, so PM (Precious Metal) prices would have to go up in EUR as well. As to EUR/CAD, I am pretty confident, therefore my positions are unhedged. The BIG QUESTION bugging me is:  Rising US interest rates, oil prices, or any geopolitical event, will eventually cause a severe correction of the stock markets. I believe, given the incredible amount of debt, demographic factors and so on, the pullback will have severe implications on the real economies. Here the question: Will the broad investor base have enough money left to go into PMs? Or will the PMs fare better on a relative basis to the overall markets, only, but still end up well below even today's levels?
HW: Precious metals should out perform. While the Euro is not that strong a currency, it IS a better alternative to the US Dollar under 134.  Also my primary non-astrological reason for the Summer gold rally is that gold will be seen to be an inflation metal, not just primarily viewed as a currency.

READER: As usual good to read your views. GOLD might drop to US $ 410 levels in the next coming weeks but at this level or around US $ 400  - I STRONGLY RECOMMEND ACCUMULATING GOLD STOCKS OR BUYING PHYSICAL GOLD OR BUYING GOLD FUTURES. I SEE GOLD AT US $ 495+ BY DEC'05 OR BY Q1 2006.
HW: I agree more or less with your overall view. I am not sure Gold will drop to $410 by June and it can easily be $495 before Dec’05. That is why we started accumulating gold in April and continue to recommend further accumulation in May AND June.


7. HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
We would advise considering some buys for either the first upcoming MMD or later second May rally.
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Author: INVESTING BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY,TRADING BY THE STARS (01)
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