WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK
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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: APRIL 11, 2005
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER

1. APRIL MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
7. AFUND LETTERS

Global economy peaked in '04 Inflation and slow growth = stagflation?
The World Bank report predicts a slowdown, doesn't rule out recession. Most market analysts are expecting to see a global slowdown in consumer spending, economic growth, and company earnings. The question is whether it shows up sufficiently in this Quarter’s upcoming earning reports. Consumer spending in the U.K. as well as the US is slipping as shoppers curb their spending because of higher mortgage payments, fuel costs and utility bills. There is an increasing possibility that the US economy could enter into recession in 2006. However, even if a recession is avoided, the period of strong economic growth is obviously nearing an end.

The Stock Trader's Almanac says April has been the best month for the Dow average since 1950.
As previously forecast, we believe the 2005 top is already in.  If so, short term we are in a short term trading.
The question is from what to what?  Our best guess at the moment is Dow 10280 to Dow 10820.

Recommended Actions:
TRADERS:   Buy late April/May rally sometime after Tuesday.

INVESTORS: Distribute/Sell into strength April/May.
We urge all to read our web post: SUMMER GOLD FINDS COSMIC FAVOR     

HYDE PARK SOAPBOX: DARE WE MENTION THE “C” WORD?
It seems that the C word- “conservation” is a label even more despicable than the L word.  The IEA’s plan, upon a global emergency, plans to issue a recommendation for commuters to car pool to work!  What’s wrong with this picture?  Isn’t it obvious!

KEYDATES:        April 11, 12
DJIA:                   10500 PIVOT
SPX:                    1155 SUPPORT 1205 RESISTANCE   
NASDAQ:           2000 PIVOT
XAU:                   92 PIVOT 95 R1 100 R2 105 R3

Market Marker Sentiment: First Bullish, then Bearish.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
2003 CLOSE:            DJIA 10453, SPX 1111 & NASDAQ 2003
DIJA:                         2 ~ FV 0 UV; 5 offer 4%+ Dividends.
While the internal Stock Market astrology is mixed, the external risk potential is high. Looking ahead, my question is whether 2006 will show slow growth less than 2%, no growth, or turn into a classical recession.
PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING AGAINST DOWNSIDE RISK.

2. Metlife Sells NY property to SL Green for 918mln and MetLife to Sell One Madison Avenue
We like MetLife. Previously it bought big time at the bottom of the stock market cycle. Now it is wise to be selling Real Estate at the top of the market.  It is currently trading close to its fair value.  Likewise, Cedant (CD) is a profitable company that also has value (low p/e).
Both are stocks to buy and hold if/when you hold any bullish inclinations.

3. Help wanted: Vikings. Must be friendly, tourist-oriented and interested in ancient Norse traditions. Crazed, bloodthirsty pillagers need not apply. In a rare employment opportunity for Vikings, whose job market peaked about 1,000 years ago when they terrorized Europe in their longboats, southern Norway's Vestfold county wants to fill slots at its local historical park… But the center is seeking to play down the Scandinavian Vikings' reputation as wild, murderous looters who pillaged and burned through much of Europe, a claim they said was largely exaggerated in texts left by ancient English monks. "They were really more traders and merchants."

The OSE All Share is currently at the top of its 52 week range at 285. Our three local recommending holdings have long been not unsurprisingly in the oil and gas industry: Norsk Hydro (NHY), Statoil (STO) and Petroleum Geo-services (PGS). Given the high price of oil, which has obvious positive effects on the Kroner and the Norwegian economy itself, plus the above mentioned hiring binge, we remain positive and overweight intermediate term.

4. "At this point I see Dow 8750 before Dow 12000."
Stock Trader's Almanac March 2005
HW: So do I.

"A lot of traders are very nervous. They don't know which way to jump."
Michael Metz, chief investment strategist, Oppenheimer
HW: All they need do is check their daily horoscope for helpful jumping directions.

“`The risks to inflation seem all aligned on the upside. This up creep in inflation makes the Fed increasingly intolerant of above-trend economic growth.''
Joseph Abate, senior economist, Lehman Brothers
HW: As I trader, I love such one-way bets.

5. Small-cap value better choice than Nasdaq
“I recommend buying small-cap value stocks by the hundreds, in a no-load mutual fund.”

Why Is It So Difficult To Make Money In Gold & Silver

Pass up flash for cash when picking stocks
"Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel, author of Stocks for the Long Run, argues that your best bet for long-term stock performance doesn't lie with flashy growth stocks but with relatively stodgy, dividend-paying companies."

6. READER: RE: Gold Good stuff -Very interesting to say the least.
HW: Thank you.

READER: Robert Miner of Dynamic Traders Group issued a long-term 'sell' report on stocks, etc., and he has asked all his subscribers to pass on the report freely.  Here is the link to the report (have to register the site) also I have attached it.  Please include in your next issue of WSNW if you feel appropriate: https://www.dynamictraders.com/PDFStore/pdf_store.asp
HW: I do.

READER: As I have understood a sun eclipse increases the volatility and make the market explode either up or down. Mercury SD is a positive for the market. Both should then stimulate the market to go up.
HW: Maybe, maybe not. Mercury SD can also show a directional change in thinking. Investors could realize how serious things are.  However, it could be a positive .
READER: What time represents the highest probability for that to happen? Either: before 04/08, 04/08 to 04/12 or after that period.
HW: I am staying with a Bearish preference until 4/11-12.
READER: Or is it impossible to say something about this?
HW: Hard to know at this time whether a seasonal rally will come shortly thereafter, or by May.  My preference is the latter.

HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
Nothing new to add this week.

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