WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK
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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: APRIL 4, 2005
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER

1. APRIL MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
7. AFUND LETTERS

WHAT ME WORRY?
 THE BAD NEWS OF APRIL 1, 2005 IS NOT YET EVEN BUILT INTO THE STOCK MARKET!
Should I worry because of The Economy: No Jobs and Higher Prices?
Crude futures surged last week after Goldman Sachs suggested the oil markets are in the early stages of a "super spike" period, which could see prices rise as high as $105 per barrel.
While I believe the most serious crises will await 2006, many market players today lack strong conviction and will quickly run to the exit should any heightened financial instability occur before then.  Remember, markets are likely to unwind rather quickly once set in motion.

This quarter’s earnings seasons begin in earnest April 6 with Alcoa (AA) after market close.  While it may make sense to buy stocks thereafter, or in May, consider these positional trades and more an opportunity to exit, than long term buy and holds, while the market remains above 10,000.

While the following information is not yet needed, it is wise to remember what is a bear market.
According to psychoanalyst John Schott the three stages of a bear markets are:

·    "The earliest stage is characterized by denial, increased anxiety and fear.
·    The second stage is panic.  People suddenly say, 'I've got to sell.'
·    The third phase is despair, people stop buying stocks."
·   
Obviously we are not quite there, but it is much closer than most investors think. However, it should be noted that Friday’s SPX close of 1172 was first reached in 1998! This means except for trading and owning dividend-yielding stocks, investing in the broad stock market, despite all of its volatility, has essentially done nothing for seven years. Stay tuned, as always, for more.

TRADERS:      Day traders will continue to rule Monday, Wednesday and Friday.

INVESTORS:  There should be no great rush to bargain hunt ahead of this week’s April 8th Eclipse.      

GUEST HYDE PARK SOAPBOX: FirstAlert Concerned?  Where Do We Start?
”There’s not much to say.  Investors just don’t have a lot of confidence in the markets, because they don’t have a lot of confidence in the economy and those managing it.  Where one administration would “jawbone” an industry or bust some trusts or “carry a big stick,” it seems the present one is made up mostly of either apologists or double-speakers whose realities are finally catching up with their twin tongues.   

News of defense budgets that are astronomical, continued spending on foreign adventures that appear to have only economic drain rather than expected economic benefit, while slashing domestic programs to pay for it all, coupled with the onslaught of higher travel costs and cut-backs in airline seats finally surfacing over the outrageous oil prices, and deficits ad finitum are just becoming so overwhelming it is hard to remember where to begin and where to end in a recitation of them all.  No doubt we’ve left out a nagging concern of yours.   Just fill in the blanks.”

Dateline NBC Air Date Set For Naked Short Selling Program Sunday April 10!
April 10 will air the heralded and much-awaited national expose on the manipulative short-selling scandal known as StockGate.
 
KEYDATES:   April 8, 11, 12
DJIA:               S1 10400  S2 10350  S3 10280 10454 PIVOT
SPX:                S1 1172  S2 1166  S3 1155   
NASDAQ:      1995 PIVOT
XAU:               Second Accumulation in April

Market Marker Sentiment: First Bullish, then Bearish.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
2003 CLOSE:             DJIA 10453, SPX 1111 & NASDAQ 2003
DIJA:         2 ~ FV 1 UV; 6 offer 4%+ Dividends.
While the internal Stock Market astrology is mixed, the external risk potential is high. Looking ahead, my question is whether 2006 will show less than 2% growth, no growth, or turn into a classical recession.
PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING AGAINST DOWNSIDE RISK.

We will be raising the price of our Gold Wall Street, Next Week service to $1000 for 6 months, up from $1500 per year currently.  We will also be adding a pre-market close commentary around 3pm on active market days. If you would like to take advantage of the old pricing to subscribe, extend, renew or reactivate your subscription, you can do so before the April 8th eclipse.

We will be keeping the price of our silver investing edition $360 and if you would like to subscribe extend, renew or reactivate your subscription before the April 8th eclipse, we are offering a two year subscription for $500. 

Please remember when renewing or subscribing to mention this special.


2.  We are buying nothing this week.


3.  We couldn’t have pulled off a better April Fool’s joke than Goldman Sach’s (GS) oil analyst last week. However, we could have timed it better to April 1, rather than March 31st! Accordingly, we think it best to be cautious in Q2 2005. We no longer see a reason to overweight GS stock, given our “Under Perform” rating of the financial sector until June 2005.

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If you trade, Read Zen in the Markets - Eddie Toppel Confessions of a Samurai Trader- e-Book Version $16.95 before it’s too late.
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4. "Inflationary pressures are rising," "Are we back worrying about accelerating inflation? I think we are."
Richard DeKaser, chief economist, National City Corp
HW: We? I have been worrying about it for years.

“The future does not look bright.”
Laure Maillard, economist, Ixis CIB
HW:  We seem to be looking at 2006 through a similar crystal ball

"If you start to get above 5 percent on the 10-year, this complacency could rock people, because we've been in this range for so long,"
Kathleen Bostjancic, senior U.S. economist, Merrill Lynch
HW: You don’t say.

5.  Chasing Higher Yields Up North

If You Think Higher Interest Rates Will Help The Dollar, Think Again!

Euro Trash

6. READER: You say in your last DMC we should keep a strong bearish bias ahead of the April 8th eclipse. At the same time mark 0408 and 0411, 0412 yellow meaning high volatility. I guess this high volatility comes from the eclipse. So the eclipse marks the turning point in the market to a target near 11000 on Dow in July time frame? But: Is it more probable that the eclipse will take the market down in the 3 yellow days so the bottom will found place during this days? Any idea what the bottom will be?
HW: The volatility is due to the cosmic period marked by the April 8th eclipse and closed by the Mercury Station Direct on April 12. While it is possible markets will again try for Dow 11,000 in their late April or May tax seasonal rally, I don’t believe they will go that high.
As for the bottom, it is probably Dow 10200-Dow 10300 short term only.  This next possible bargain hunting rally is a second chance to exit somewhat whole ahead of the 2006 bleak market.  I don’t expect there to be more than two more such chances this year, and perhaps one in 2006.

7. HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
Nothing new to say this week: IHITF, SNFM and TNXT are still all recommended “slow accumulation buys” for us.

 READ THE SEASONED SPECULATOR
“Your source for outstanding 21st century small and microcap stock ideas"
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PAST WALL STREET NEXT WEEK REPORTS
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Author: INVESTING BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY,TRADING BY THE STARS (01)
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