WALL
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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: MARCH 28
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. APRIL ASTRODATES
2. APRIL MARKETS
3. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
4. ASTRONUT
5. QUOTES
6. ON THE WEB
7. LETTERS
8. AFUND CLIENTS
1. 4/8 Solar Eclipse 4:32 pm ET
4/12 Mercury SD
4/19 Sun enters Taurus 7:37 pm ET
4/24 Lunar Eclipse 6:06 am ET
2. LOOKING AHEAD
Looking ahead we have potential tax money inflows, the next earning
season and the April 8th eclipse. A lot of cash remains on the
sidelines and is anxious to find a home in the stock market, or at
least some place better than the money market. A failed test this week
of Dow 10350-10400 and a decent March employment report Friday will
start to move some of it. The smarter money will be cautious until
making a rational judgment of the earnings season. Then the Big money
will decide whether this year’s seasonal tax rally will be in April or
May and whether it will be from closer to Dow 10,000 than now is the
case.
FACTOID: A stock market correction (10% decline) MUST precede a bear
market (20% decline).
Price
10% 20%
DOW 10940
9846 8752
SPX 1225
1102 980
NASDAQ 2152
1936 1721
The three key questions are:
1) When?
2) Whether US markets will have one or two "corrections" in 2005 and a
Bear market in 2005 or 2006/2007.
3) Whether this will be slow Chinese water torture or a quick and
dramatic crash.
Federal
deficit a bigger risk than terrorism
“The budget deficit has overtaken terrorism as the greatest short-term
risk to the U.S. economy, and concern about the current gap is rising,
a survey of U.S. businesses shows.” Is inflation now a bigger
risk than the Federal deficit? The CPI and PPI are beginning to
raise flags, which SHOULD have been raised some time ago when gold
first strutted over $400.
Our investing advice:
We advise 10% portfolio gold holdings
before May/June. Begin with a 25% accumulation (2.5%) over the next
month.
TRADERS: We
are looking for Trading Buys circa 52 week lows.
INVESTORS:
LEARN ABOUT DISTRESSED INVESTING, ONE KEY THEME OF 2006!
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to $1000 for 6 months from $1500 per year currently. We will also
be adding a pre-market close commentary around 3pm on active market
days. If you would like to take advantage of the old pricing to
subscribe, extend, renew or reactivate your subscription, you can do so
before the April 8th eclipse.
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and if you would like to subscribe, extend, renew or reactivate your
subscription before the April 8th eclipse, we are offering a two year
subscription for $500.
Please remember when renewing
or subscribing to mention this special.
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KEYDATES: March 28, April 1
DJIA:
10453 PIVOT
SPX:
1166 Support
NASDAQ: 1980 S1 1950
S2 1936 S3 2000 PIVOT
XAU:
FIRST ACCUMULATION 90-92
Market Marker Sentiment: First Bullish, then Bearish.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED
PORTFOLIO!
2003 CLOSE:
DJIA 10453, SPX 1111 & NASDAQ 2003
DIJA:
2 ~ FV 0
UV; 6 offer 4%+ Dividends.
While the internal Stock Market astrology is mixed, the external risk
potential is high. Looking ahead, my question is whether 2006 will show
less than 2% growth, no growth, or turn into a classical recession.
PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING
AGAINST DOWNSIDE RISK.
3. Natural
Resources are Red Hot.
Gold Outlook: Buy
“’We believe that Gold is an excellent investment for 2005 and should
be included in well-managed portfolios interested in balance and
diversification’.
I agree and “We repeat our major stock and commodity play of
2005: We expect to see August gold breakout to news highs
480-500. Accumulate gold and gold stocks in the months ahead. 2005/2006
is "takeover time" in the industry. Current High metal prices are
likely to encourage the speculation….”
WSNW subscribers are encouraged to review our premium post: S: Mining
Stocks 2005 for more.
M&A investing and trading is “old’ news. The new theme will be
DISTRESSED Investing and Trading.
Nimble traders are encouraged to position trade DDD’s circa 52 weeks
lows. Recent profitable examples include GM, MRK and PFE. It soon will
be time for the next Dow Distressed Dog (DDD) AIG.
4. It is not just that S&P
has new concerns over Delta Air: AIRLINE FLATWARE
lands at Fishs Eddy!
Jet-set style that goes 'round the table as beautifully as it goes
'round the world...Service just like an airline hostess…
Airlines obviously have yet to recover from 911! In the meantime,
the upcoming economic slowdown, along with current high oil prices and
volatility, makes trading in most airlines a Las Vegas style bet.
Still, nimble traders can benefit from current distress almost as much
as the legal profession. For example, recently Air Canada and WestJet
were not unhappy that their ticket prices will rise now that their
discount competitor Jetsgo has been forced into bankruptcy. The stock
prices of AC-TSX and WJA (TSX) quickly rose in response. Still my
advice is: Avoid investing in the airline industry- it is mostly a
sucker’s bet.
5. “It's surprising we didn't see more of a selloff in the first
quarter in the stock market because of higher borrowing costs and
commodity prices.”
Jeffrey Kleintop, chief investment strategist, PNC Financial Services
Group
HW: Patience, there are still 3 more quarters to 2005. Then again,
Bears have 2006 to look forward to.
"With the stock and bond markets both having experienced a rough patch
in recent weeks, a period of stabilization would be welcomed."
Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist, Spencer Clarke
HW: Au contraire. For market Bears, it was a most welcome and overdue
foretaste of 2006.
"If you look at the data, the economy is doing just fine, and we expect
that to continue. But you see a market that's been sold off
dramatically. The key is interest rates, in that hopefully they will
strengthen the dollar without causing too much harm to all the debt
that companies and consumers have out there."
Hans Olsen, managing chief investment officer, Bingham Legg Advisers
HW: I disagree. The economy is not doing just fine. More to the
point is the debt risk, especially the closer we get to Q2 2006.
6. Outsmarting
Market Trends
An
Interview with Jimmy Rogers
Whom to
believe -- Buffett or Greenspan?
The Oracle of Omaha foresees dire consequences for our debt-ridden
ways. The Fed chairman predicts a soft landing and says the debt
is no big deal. Who's right?
HW: I go with OoO.
7. READER: I don't know if you caught Abelson this week, but he cites
Stephen Roach of Morgan Stanley as saying March 16 was the "tipping
point"!
HW: Yes, I did. While we were a day early, our trading motto is: “BE
THERE FIRST.”
READER: Did we hit a bottom?
HW: We are close (in time and price) to a POSSIBLE short term bottom,
but not THE bottom of 2005.
READER: Why isn't gold going up as fast as oil considering both are
inflationary indicators?
HW: Because too many investors have forgotten that gold is more
than a currency, but also is an inflation indicator. I promise to do my
best to remind them! Spread the word.
READER: Great call on the Euro ....I'm short gold tho so same thing I
guess ..... For what its worth I'm looking for 425 before closing out on
Gold.
HW: We are out on our Euro short at 130 (probably a bit early) and you
will soon be out on your gold short. As such, we are both happy
campers. BTW: We recommend our first (early) gold buy here around
425.
8. HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
IHITF, SNFM and TNXT are all recommended “slow accumulation buys” for
us this month.
READ
THE SEASONED SPECULATOR
“Your source for outstanding 21st century small and microcap stock
ideas"
“Buy small, Win BIG!”
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PAST WALL STREET NEXT WEEK REPORTS
FRIDAY
11 am listen to our Internet radio program TRADING BY THE
STARS.
(c)
2005 All rights reserved. The Astrologers Fund
"Always a Stellar Performance"
wsnw@Afund.com 212/949-7211 Fax 212/949-7274 370
Lexington Avenue, Suite 416 New York, N.Y. 10017-6503
Author: INVESTING BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF
ASTROLOGY,TRADING BY THE STARS (01)
DISCLAIMER
: PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE FORECASTING ACCURACY OR
PROFITABLE TRADING RESULTS.
INVESTORS ARE REMINDED TO PERFORM
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INVESTMENT.
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