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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: DECEMBER 20, 2004
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. DECEMBER MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
7. AFUND LETTERS
1. DOW 10,000 BEFORE 11,000? 400 GOLD
BEFORE 500?
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached a three year high last week.
At the
same time, the dollar fell on news that net inflows into U.S. assets
are insufficient to offset the current account deficit. Ahead,
Mercury changes direction on Monday, and Tuesday begins the Winter
solstice. Thereafter expect holiday trading games until New
Year’s. Place your buy and sell orders well below and above the
current market. Then forget about the market, and enjoy eggnog and
champagne, depending on the particular holiday venue.
OH CANADA
The Fed says inflation and longer-term inflation expectations remain
well contained. I don’t agree. Meanwhile, US
Small business optimism climbed to 20-year high in November. I
don’t know why. I prefer the financial safety of our northern neighbor,
Canada. While their trade surplus is shrinking, it remains positive,
unlike the US with a record deficit of $55.5 billion. Previously, we
raised the C$ Currency value from .78 to .83. It then rose to reach
most Canadian bank 2005 targets of .85 and then, getting ahead of
itself, naturally reversed and started dropping. Last week’s poor
export news moved it to test .80. Clearly from our viewpoint, it is a
strong buy .7850 to .8050. Canada's
Power Book - 50 Top Income Trusts is one place to look.
WSNW subscribers can review our newly revised S: 2005 CANADA
post.
NASDAQ TO OFFER $100M
IN SHARES: A STELLAR OPPORTUNITY OR CLASSIC SIGN OF A TOP?
The Nasdaq is jumping into the gold rush to sell shares of itself to
the public, getting a head start over its rival, the New York Stock
Exchange. Will investors profit as much as buying the shares of the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange [CME], which have risen over 500% in 2
years. Is this a stellar opportunity or classic sign of a top? We
eagerly await the opportunity to analyze it IPO horoscope!
TRADERS:
Holiday week trading.
INVESTORS: We
continue to place orders for last minute tax-selling December dump
bargains.
KEYDATES: DECEMBER 20, 21, 22
DJIA:
10400 SUPPORT 10738 RESISTANCE
SPX:
1200 PIVOT
NASDAQ: 2155 PIVOT
OIL:
43 PIVOT
GOLD: 435 S1
425 S2 415 S3 440 PIVOT 460 RESISTANCE
SIDEWAYS Market Marker Sentiment: Initial Worry, then Rally, ending
Flat.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED
PORTFOLIO!
12/31/2003 EOD: DJIA 10453 NASDAQ
2003 SPX 1111.
October Lows:
DJIA 9660, SPX 1090 & NASDAQ 1899
DIJA:
3 ~ FV 0 UV; 4
offer 4%+ Dividends.
While the internal Stock Market astrology, as in 2003, is mixed, the
external risk potential remains high.
2. There is a high likelihood of the 2005 market top in Q1 2004, or
perhaps even January. Be that as it may, unlike 2004, we believe
the Dow will outperform the SP 500 in 2005. A Buy Dow/ Sell SPX
market neutral strategy should result in a positive, above cash in the
bank conservative return on investment.
WSNW Subscribers can review our newly updated S: 2005 DJIA
premium post.
PS
Pfeizer (PFE) is the first Dow stock to reach our value buy [24].
While it could see 22 on further bad news (lawyers suits), it is more
likely to trade as Merck (MRK) did first.
3. Nurses we trust. Media? Not so much
“Nurses get top marks when it comes to honesty and ethics, and car
salesmen are the least trusted people.” If this is a super
bowl-type indicator, then one should expect the Health Sector to
outperform the automotive one in 2005. Next highest and lowest on the
list were teachers and media, respectively. Funny, I also see
education outperforming in 2005. Does this mean media will under
perform? If so, then we will downgrade our favorite media stock Time
Warner (TWX) from our current buy rating to sector out perform.
Stay tuned.
4. “We are pretty bullish on the outlook for the market.''
Bill Thomas, overseer, U.S. equities at Baring Asset Management
HW: Lots of cash sloshing around and potential M& A plays, but the
earnings outlook is weaker for most stocks!
“Higher short-term rates in the U.S. should stop the dollar from
falling off a cliff.''
Benedikt Germanier, currency strategist, UBS AG
HW: The time is nearing for our long term prediction: that the Fed will
have to raise rates to defend the dollar well being.
“The United States is unlikely to export its way out of its trade
quagmire by a currency-induced improvement in competitiveness.''
Stephen Roach, chief economist, Morgan Stanley
HW: Well we could try a rational tax policy instead , but I wouldn’t
bet on it in 2005.
5. Dollar's
Gradual Decline Good for Equities
Investing:
A New Way to Hedge Your Home's Paper Profit
“Volatile markets are increasingly becoming a part of our lives," Mr.
Shiller added. "The home market itself is becoming more volatile. We're
in the biggest real estate bubble in history, I believe.
"We haven't seen a swing down yet, but it could be coming," he warned.
"There are people with big houses and big mortgages who are going to
feel the pinch."
Seven
Scintillating Small Stocks to Own in 2005
“If you buy these seven stocks, I can't guarantee you that you will
make more money than you would in large stocks such as Coca- Cola Co.
(KO), General Electric Co. (GE) or Microsoft Corp. (MSFT). But if you
are like me, you will probably have more fun.”
6. READER: Do you quote a support value for the XOI?
HW: We see interim support at 682. From my fundamental viewpoint,
this year’s oil rally was largely manufactured. However, I
believe future US dollar weakness would put a meaningful intermediate
floor on Oil somewhere between 34-37, if the $40 magic number is
decisively broken.
READER: I for a top in Nasdaq in and a drop into April.
HW: That is similar to the Vedic astrological view of Alan Reminick on
our website Joytish
Market View.
7. HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
READER: Another sad day for IHI.
HW: Or a great day for microcap January effect traders or value
investors to average down [as we did].
READER: Why Still No PR on IHI This Month?
HW: I would bet that it will come out shortly (before the end of year).
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2004 All rights reserved. The Astrologers Fund
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Author: INVESTING BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF
ASTROLOGY,TRADING BY THE STARS (01)
May
13-15, 2005 Eleventh Astrology & Stock MarketConference
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