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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: DECEMBER 13, 2004
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. DECEMBER MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
7. AFUND LETTERS
YEAR END PROFIT TAKING AND TAX LOSS SELLING
Short term markets are likely to be mixed, i.e. within recent range
bound
up and down market action. On the one hand, hedge funds are right to
book
their stock and currency profits. On the other, we have positive
market
seasonality. Hence we expect at least one more tradable [150-200 Dow
point]
UP and down move each before year end. For the next two weeks, our
trading
and investing strategy respectively, is to trading buy January effect
microcaps,
while slowly buying any unwarranted tax loss selling dumps.
Meanwhile, back at the ranch, U.S. household debt up 9.1%
in
Q3, yet, Property
taxes
rising nationwide. These two stories seem to confirm two of our big
2005
themes: our forecast for $500 gold, coupled with lower housing prices
by
July 2005.
TRADERS: This week is better for investing, i.e. entering and
exiting
intermediate term positions, than positional trades. Day trade news
instead.
INVESTORS: Accumulate tax-selling December dump
bargains.
GUEST HYDE PARK SOAPBOX: DISGRUNTLED EUROPEANS
Europeans are increasingly disgruntled with U.S. foreign policy,
according
to a European Union
poll published Friday, in which only 22% of respondents said they saw
the
United States playing a positive role fostering world peace.
WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK NEWSLETTER CHANGES COMING.
Please send us your input on what you would like to see in 2005.
KEYDATES: DECEMBER 14,16
DJIA:
10,453 2003 December 31 Benchmark Marker
NASDAQ: 2050 Support 2100 PIVOT 2150
RESISTANCE
GOLD: 425
Support
440 PIVOT 460 Resistance
2005 Market Marker Sentiment: First Bullish, then Bearish.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED
PORTFOLIO!
12/31/2003 EOD: DJIA 10453 NASDAQ 2003
SPX
1111.
October Lows:
DJIA
9660, NASDAQ 1899 SPX 1090
DIJA:
3 ~ FV 0 UV; 4 offer 4%+ Dividends.
While the internal Stock Market astrology, as in 2003, is mixed, the
external
risk potential is still high.
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yet,
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2. Our December Stock of
the
Month Club Picks were Placer Dome (PDG) and the AFUND MICRCOCAP 5,
5
small cap stocks we recommend buying sometime in December to take
advantage
of the seasonal January effect in Microcaps. Our target or projected
return
is 35%+.
We plan on doing little fresh investing between Tuesday’s FOMC meeting
and
the Winter Solstice. The reason: we are naturally waiting at least
until
Mercury turns direct on the 20th.
3. The KSE or Karachi 100 Pakistan stock market continues at record
levels.
Clearly, it has been one major beneficiary of the US-Afghanistan war
game.
This is not a market I am familiar with, so I have little to comment on
beyond
speculating what other country bourse(s) could benefit from a US strike
at
Syria, Iran or North Korea, the three major current US evil empire
villains.
One answer is likely to continue to be Egypt, which rallied more than
50%
in 2004. According to egyptianstocks.com, the Egyptian Stock
Exchange
is expected to witness a boom during the coming period, in line with
the
foreign investors’ return back to the market. They noted that investors
are
awaiting new economic policies by the beginning of the new fiscal year.
In
other words, it is question of WHEN insiders will sell. We think
it
could run a bit further first. But given that we hold little first hand
knowledge
of the region’s companies, I simply find it an interesting stock market
phenomena
to observe, but not play.
4. “Everyone is quite sure about the trend -- the dollar is going down
and
come the new year everybody will be fresh and ready to sell dollars As
long
as it doesn't poison the U.S. equity markets I think the U.S. is very
happy
with the dollar keeping falling.''
David Bloom, currency strategist, HSBC Holdings
HW: What short term thinking.
“Markets can overshoot and undershoot, and they often do, but the
virtue
of markets is they're self correcting.''
U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow
HW: How true, but just imagine how weak the dollar would be if the euro
overshoots?
On par with the Peso or Yuan? Of course not, but severe long term
damage
will have been done.
"It's important that we stop the collapse of oil prices."
Ali Naimi, oil minister of Saudi Arabia
HW: I agree. We recommended that Thursday was the appropriate time for
Hedge
funds to SAR (Stop and Revese) their short term December oil shorts.
5. We
Pledge Allegiance to the Mall
“We outsource everything except consumption, and that is not
sustainable
much longer," said Stephen S. Roach, chief economist for Morgan
Stanley,
arguing that the indebtedness involved in America's obsessive spending
will
soon disrupt exchange rates, damaging economies.”
Solid
gold reasons to own gold
“There is no way for the government to preserve the purchasing power of
the
dollar by anything other than ceasing all monetary expansion, which the
Federal
Reserve System never does."
When
Picky Analysts Pick
6. READER: You recommended recently TNXT. The stock is now down at 0.67
USD.I
think
there is 2 possibilities:
1.Very oversold and a good bargain.
2.Negative news?
HW: I suggested buying before Thursday MOC. There is no negative
news
that I know of. Just that this is microcap tax season. Some
investors
who bought above $2.00 last year may be doing a tax wash. One has
to
look at charts. As a trader I would buy around .65 and sell around .95.
As
an investor, I could buy anywhere around here and “hope” for better
numbers.
As 1/5 the AFUND microcap trade, anytime this week is fine.
READER: At what price can an investor get back in PDG & ABX?
HW: PDG could be 19-20, although 18 is possible. [18.25 was our first
recommended
buy].
As for ABX, I am not sure. Pricewise the 22 zone is good for hedging,
but
not sure if for short term trading as well. I have sold it and am
waiting
to rebuy. PDG is our first gold re-entry.
WSNW SUBSCRIBERS NOTE:
“There have been a lot of questions when to buy PDG. I wrote before
Thursday
MOC and under 20. Actually it the price is between 18 and 19.
Given
gold’s drop today, we will either buy in the AM or MOC today.
However,
I may also buy tomorrow MOC if gold drops further. Right
now
it is down about $11 to $446, which is a considerable drop. If
you
are buying as a hedge, you can buy today, if you are buying price, then
$18
ish should be fine or XAU 96. [Xau went to 95.93!]”
7. HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
We believe our client stocks HESG and IHITF are both likely to
participate
in the upcoming seasonable January effect for small and microcap stocks.
READER: I put orders in to buy on open ...Hesg, Tnxt, Uama on the open
today
3k each....going on what you sent me...how long do I keep these for? ..
HW: There are two choices. First they are all January effect
plays.
As such trades they can be sold or stopped in mid-January. As
investments,
they are all potentially capable of doing extremely well. Therefore,
you
could also sell 1/2 after a big move. I will be reporting on what I see
again
for these company fundamentals later in January.
READER: It does sort of make you wonder why it is taking IHI so long if
ever.
Sort of makes you wonder what is not showing up in that Western
astrology
chart?
HW: Astrology is a necessary but not sufficient condition alone for
success.
What is highly unusual is its natal strength, which shows continual
opportunities.
Hence, I believe over time, the odds continue to favor the company’s
eventual
success.
READER: Today you recommended IHI When I use that ticker in my chart
system
I get:
Information Hldgs Inc (NYSE). In you letter: International High-Tech
Industries?
The same ticker on two companies?
HW: Sorry IHI is the TSX symbol. It is IHITF on the US bulletin
board
market.
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PAST WALL STREET NEXT WEEK REPORTS
FRIDAY
11 am listen to our Internet radio program TRADING BY THE
STARS.
(c)
2004 All rights reserved. The Astrologers Fund
"Always a Stellar Performance"
wsnw@Afund.com 212/949-7211 Fax 212/949-7274 370
Lexington Avenue, Suite 416 New York, N.Y. 10017-6503
Author: INVESTING BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF
ASTROLOGY,TRADING BY THE STARS (01)
May
13-15, 2005 Eleventh Astrology & Stock MarketConference
NYC
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of free trading stock as a consulting fee.
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