Wall Street Next Week SEPTEMBER 27, 2004
WALL STREET,
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WALL STREET,
NEXT WEEK: SEPTEMBER 27, 2004
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR
AND TRADER
1. OCTOBER ASTRODATES
2. OCTOBER MARKETS
3. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
4. ASTRONUT
5. QUOTES
6. ON THE WEB
7. LETTERS
8. AFUND CLIENTS
1. 10/13 SOLAR ECLIPSE 10.48 PM ET
10/22 SUN enters Scorpio 9:49 PM ET
10/24 NEPTUNE SD
10/27 LUNAR ECLIPSE 11:07 PM ET
2. UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES AND THE OCTOBER MARKETS
Current talking head wisdom says markets will follow the presidential polls:
Bush UP Market UP, Bush DOWN, Market DOWN. However, this short term
market indicator will work only until it stops working. Kerry is sure to
point out some current economic fantasies and an increase in investor reality
is hardly likely to rally markets. Banc of America Securities has just advised
clients to reduce their exposure to the stock Market from 60% to 55%, due
in part to questionable earnings growth. The rest is recommended to be 30%
cash and 15% bonds. "We believe it now makes sense for investors to move
a greater portion of their assets away from stocks, and consider ourselves
to be meaningfully underweight equities now for the first time in more than
two years," wrote B of A strategist Thomas McManus. "While we still
believe that SP 1160 is achievable in 12 months' time, we see that level
as unlikely in the near term and we think that popular averages could challenge
or pierce their August lows at some point in the next few weeks."
HW: That is good advice. Extra caution [cash and portfolio liquidity] is
advised through October.
HYDE PARK SOAPBOX: IS TIMING RUNNING OUT FOR PROSPERITY?
Despite growing demand from India and China, oil prices above $50 are not
sustainable. Hence over time they will drop. Much of recent US economic growth
was due to tax cuts and war spending, both of which are not sustainable over
the long term. The so called good news is that there is not yet signs
of worker wage inflation. Who is that good news for? Henry Ford paid
his workers living wages so they could afford to buy his cars. Current US
managers don’t seem to get it. Meanwhile, IMF
Report Disputes Housing Bubble Theory but says very high housing prices
in many rich countries are in danger of a correction as central banks raise
interest rates to check inflation. "Just as the current upswing in house
prices has largely been a global phenomenon, any downturn is also likely
to be highly synchronized across countries, with corresponding implications
for the world economy," according to their semi-annual World Economic Outlook.
I report, you decide.
TRADERS: DAY TRADING WEEK.
INVESTORS: MORE RISK THAN REWARD IN MOST INVESTMENTS THIS WEEK. STAY
LOOSE AND HIGHLY LIQUID UNTIL GOOD NEWS, A REAL MARKET DROP OR THE NOVEMBER
ELECTION, WHICHEVER COMES FIRST.
KEYDATES: SEPTEMBER 28, 30
DJIA:
10,000 SUPPORT or RESISTNACE?
NASDAQ: 1880 and 1905 PIVOTS
QQQ:
35 PIVOT
XOI:
THIRD (FINAL) DISTRIBUTION; FIRST SELL 699 OB.
SIDEWAYS Market Marker Sentiment: Initial Worry, then Rally, ending Flat.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
12/31/2003 EOD: DJIA 10453 NASDAQ 2003 SPX
1111.
08/13/2004: DJIA 9825
NASDAQ 1757 SPX 1064
FAIR VALUE: DJIA <9640, NASDAQ
<1750, GOLD = 410
DIJA: 2 ~ FV 0 UV;
Only 3 offer 4%+ Dividends.
While the internal Stock Market astrology, as in 2003, is mixed, the external
risk potential remains high.
3. We are pleased that our September Microcap pick AFUND client Health Science
Group (HESG) reached our trading target within 30 days. Note: We emailed
our September picks last week to Wall Street Subscribers.
As most WSNW readers know, Jupiter left Virgo and entered Libra September
24. We therefore expect M&A activity to accelerate, given Libra's rulership
of partnership. For the same cosmic reason, we also expect barter to greatly
expand, both for individuals and businesses. If you are worried about the
stock market losing value, the Art Market, also ruled by Libra, can be both
an attractive alternative investment and defensive play. While the outlook
for the US economy is being revised down, the art market is looking forward
to an illustrious season. Blue Chip Art (brand name artists or works from
important collections) is usually more profitable in the long-term and can
involve a lower level of risk since the art market is by nature less volatile.
Collectors may also experience champagne fun buying art and unlike stocks,
you can proudly hang your painting in a prominent place for the enjoyment
of all. One stock choice is Getty Images (GYI), which supplies photo images
for media. While a recognized play, i.e. somewhat expensive, it is likely
to out perform in Q4 2004 and 2005 and hence worth watching.
4. American icon Wonder Bread and Twinkies maker, Interstate Bakeries Corp
(IBCIQ), the nation's largest wholesale baker, filed for bankruptcy protection
becoming the latest Carb
craze casualty. American investors reacted swiftly to its
NYSE delisting as Interstate
stock up in soaring volume on pink sheets. Meanwhile a “surprising”
Yale University study said Gambling
Linked to Good Health in Elderly. Is it true that older recreational
gamblers are healthier than non-gamblers? What does this all mean?
Will Las Vegas spas become hot? Will Americans stop eating junk food
and gamble more instead? I wouldn’t bet on it. Until recently, Las Vegas Related Gaming Companies
have outperformed for two years. I believe value investors can wait to bet
on gaming stocks until valuations are lower. However, beware, as longer term
the Saturn-Neptune oppositions beginning Aug 31 2006 suggest a major downgrade
of this sector will be warranted within two years.
5. "I guess what's happening is this soft patch (in the economy) is affecting
everybody."
John Kinsey, portfolio manager, Caldwell Securities
HW: Good guess, John.
"When you take a look at the leading economic indicators, it's very clear
that the price of oil is having an impact on the economy. Just look at the
negative earnings statements from some of the most stable companies out there."
Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer, First Albany Corp
HW: Duh!
“Despite still-hefty gasoline prices, continued turmoil in Iraq and the absence
of fresh tax cuts, U.S. consumers are sticking with what they do best: spending.''
Susan Hering, economist, UBS Securities
HW: I wonder if our founding fathers would have been proud to partake in
this new American dream. Be that as it may, I believe Christmas retail spending
will be on the weak side.
6. How
much to put in stocks? Try zero
Bubble
trouble: Tales from the home front
Who
hurts if China's economy lands hard
7. HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
We are obviously very pleased that Health Science Group (HESG) rose 50% in
September as we predicted. I hope to post on our website shortly why
we feel this will be a winning small cap investment in Fall 2004 and Winter
2005 shortly.
IHI Shareholder: Is there anything positive you can give me to hang on or
should I salvage what little is left and sell [IHITF]?
HW: While I cannot directly advise you, I CAN tell you what I believe. IHI
stock is a bargain now. In my view, great patience is a virtue here as Microcaps
often act like non-expiring options. Roger is well committed and both
horoscopes promises continual opportunities, e.g. Florida. Over time, one
or more of the many projects that the Company is working on should make it.
Personally, I plan to be buying more IHI stock again soon.
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INVESTING BY THE
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STARS (01)
May 13-15, 2005
Eleventh Astrology
& Stock MarketConference
NYC
DISCLAIMER
: PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE
OF FUTURE FORECASTING
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TRADING
RESULTS.
INVESTORS ARE REMINDED TO
PERFORM THEIR OWN DUE DILIGENCE
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AND FULLY UNDERSTAND ALL RISK
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This InformationIs In No
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This information
is not intended to be used as
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IHI has been
an AFUND client since 1994 and is currently
paying monthly $2,500 consulting fees and $500 for
banner ads on our website. May 15, 2002, an affiliated
company, Susan Hahn & Associates became IHI’s
media representative with a monthly fee of $1500.
April 1, 2004,
Karma Media (KRMA) became an AFUND client and paid $2500
in April and May. Contract expected to resume by the Fall..
May 17 2004 Health Sciences Group (HESG)
became an AFUND client and is paying $5000 bimonthly in free
trading stock for six months as a consulting fee.
Please read
our Disclaimer
for more information and note that
my clients and I are shareholders and may act
in the open market.
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