Wall Street Next Week AUGUST 2, 2004
WALL STREET,
NEXT WEEK
Financial Astrology for successful investors
and traders"
Subscription
rates investing edition
are $360/annual;
$125/Quarterly.
Subscription
rates trading
edition are $1500/annual;
$555 Quarterly.
Subscription
rates money managers
edition are $10000/annual;
$3000 Quarterly;
Institutional
rates are $3000
per month; $25,000 annual.
Stop reading
Wall Street, Next Week,
last week:
YES, I WANT
TO SUBSCRIBE
WALL STREET, NEXT
WEEK: AUGUST 2, 2004
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND
TRADER
1. AUGUST MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
7. AFUND LETTERS
INVESTING RISK: 5% UP vs. 10%+ DOWN
Standard & Poor's Equity Research has cut its year-end target for the
S&P500 index (SPX) from 1210 to 1150 (7/30 closed 1101), citing the impact
of high oil prices and the threat of terrorist attacks. "With U.S. rates heading
higher and 2005 earnings heading lower, the outlook is clearly uncertain."
While it may be already time for the first of 3 H2 2004 investing buys,
I am awaiting Monday’s market before deciding whether we will next see Dow
10,400 or 9800. As a trader, I prefer the risk/reward of the latter.
Even ignoring the many external risks, at best it will be a mixed picture
fundamentally; looking ahead towards 2005, the market will be pressured both
by slowing profit growth and steadily rising interest rates.
The Bottom line is a trading sideways market with unusually high Bull risk.
We advise strong investor due diligence in preparing buy lists, the first
of which is no later than September 2.
BLACK GOLD
With
the Oil market going through the roof, OPEC will study proposals to increase
the range of oil prices from 22-28 US$ to 28-35 US$ per barrel at its Sept.
15 meeting. How will this affect the price of politically sensitive gasoline?
Tom Kloza, director of Oil Price Information Service, believes gasoline prices
will likely remain high for a while. "The one thing you can bet on is that
the cyclical factors that sent gas prices up in 2004 will come back in early
2005.” He added, "Now the lowest (gasoline) prices will be, interestingly,
right around election day."
HW: Wow, what an interesting “coincidence”!
HYDE PARK SOAP BOX: ITS ONLY MONEY
The
U.S. budget deficit will hit a record $445 billion this year. “The figure
is well above the 2003 shortfall of $374 billion, the prior record in dollar
terms.” At the same time, another government Report revives
debate on jobs: “One in five Americans laid off from a long-term job
in the last three years was still unemployed in January, and most who had
found jobs were paid less than they were before.”
With shades of Bush’s “Mission Accomplished” Iraq victory claim, the US
economy is far weaker than generally believed. I.R.S.
Says Americans' Income Shrank for 2 Consecutive Years. “The overall income
Americans reported to the government shrank for two consecutive years after
the Internet stock market bubble burst in 2000, the first time that has effectively
happened since the modern tax system was introduced during World War II”.
Adjusted for inflation, the income of all Americans fell 9.2% from 2000 to
2002. While in the corporate suite, “total pay for the top 200 chief
executives plummeted to an average of $7.9 million in 2002 from $12.5 million
in 2000.”
Unbeknownst to the public, my private poll of NY money managers has many
voting the Democratic ticket for the first time ever! Does this foretell a
possible Kerry landslide? Stay tuned for more!
TRADERS: Monday’s market is key to whether we will begin a retest
of July lows or a slow up trending sideways market.
INVESTORS: WE ARE ON A COUNT DOWN TO A REPUBLICAN CONVENTION RALLY.
It is time to begin to prepare your “dream” Buy list.
KEY DATES: AUGUST 6,10
DJIA:
10150 PIVOT
NASDAQ: 1900 PIVOT
OIL:
High Probability/High Risk Sell $44
MARKET SENTIMENT Worry first (Down), then late bargain hunting rally.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
12/31/2003 EOD: SPX 1111 DJIA 10453 NASDAQ
2003.
FAIR VALUE: DJIA <9800, NASDAQ
<1800, GOLD > 402
While the internal Stock Market astrology, as in 2003, is mixed, the external
risk potential is horrific!
2. The
$32 Billion With a Bonus in Tax Breaks
“The magic price under the tax law will be $30.81 [for MSFT]… That is because
dividends are considered extraordinary under the law if the total payment
in any 85-day period is 10 percent or more of the value of the stock.”
This along with technicals makes $27 an effective intermediate trading Buy
floor for MSFT.
For a pricing update for Microsoft and 29 other Dow stocks ahead of our
major biannual review in October, subscribers may visit our premium post
S: DJIA.
3. Best
remedy for a child's cough? Water
“A glass of water will do as much to relieve a child's cough as an expensive,
over-the-counter cough syrup, a new study suggests. The research, published
in the medical journal Pediatrics, concludes that parents who treat a child's
nighttime cough with the widely available medications are wasting their money.”
If truth be known, will the billions of dollar each year that consumers spend
on over-the-counter medications for cough syrups, be instead spend on bottled
water? Should one market hedge this risk and BUY WATER/SELL DRUGS? I
do not know, but AFUND Q3 2004 Sector recommendations remain: Overweight Water,
and Underweight Big Pharm.
“September 24, Jupiter leaves Virgo, no longer bestowing its cosmic favor
to many traditional healthcare companies. In addition, the increasing probability
of a Democratic election victory is further likely to shakeup the health care
sector. This Fall, we will look to accumulate upon weakness, stocks that
will benefit from ever more increasing demands of cost containment, and Biotechs,
that continue to be blessed by Uranus in Pisces.”
WSNW subscribers can read more at our updated premium post S: Healthcare Stocks.
4. "The whole debate in the U.S. is about whether or not the Fed is underestimating
inflation."
Mark Wall, economist, Deutsche Bank
HW: August 6 will “settle” this debate short term, i.e. for the August 10
FOMC meeting and its .25 interest raise.
"Not withstanding that company earnings are coming through OK, there's
a feeling that share prices have got a little ahead of the rebound we've seen
in earnings. So investors are struggling to find value."
Michael Gifford, UK equity fund manager, ISIS Asset Management
HW: That is a struggle I have had for months!
"This is much more than the usual summer doldrums. There's a message coming
from the market here. If I were to simplify that message, it's that the economy
and earnings in the third and fourth quarter won't be as strong as we expected."
Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer, First Albany
HW: Expected by whom?
5.
Investing: Initial Public Offerings, With a Canadian Twist
“More than a dozen unglamorous businesses have lined up for I.P.O.'s recently,
using a new hybrid financial instrument known as income deposit securities.”
Stronger
dollar saps overseas profit
A stronger dollar is choking off a currency windfall that had pumped up
U.S. companies' overseas profits, leading many to scale back earnings forecasts
for the rest of the year.
Could
That Rally Be Partisan?
“Five stocks rallied for the Republicans but swooned for the Democrats.
They were First Health Group, Walt Disney, J. P. Morgan Chase (before the
merger was announced), American Express and McDonald's.”
6. READER: Is there a possibility that you might do another "3-2 deal" promotion?
This "tough" economy...has hurt my earnings. I'm having to "cut back" on expenses.
So...if you do a 3 years for 2 PROMOTION...let me know...I'd be interested.
Otherwise, I'll have to discontinue your service.
HW: I certainly appreciate the “truth” about today’s economy and I would
hate to lose you as a long time subscriber. So the answer is YES, as long
as you renew by the FOMC meeting August 10, you can receive WSNW for 3 years
for $555 or 9 months for $250.
Note: This special offer also will apply to gold WSNW subscribers: $2500
for three years and $1110 for 9 months. To any readers who subscribed or renewed
since June 30, we will apply your last subscription payment to this special,
e.g. $195 more for 2 additional years.
HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
The “Summer Doldrums” is a perfect time to accumulate IHITF and HESG, which
we believe is more than tradable to a post Republican rally and the next small
cap “January effect”
*********************************************************************************************************
S: in front of a web link indicates access is restricted to WSNW subscribers.
Subscribers
please send your comments,
questions and suggestions
to
Letters
.
Silver Investing subscriptions
$360 one year;
new subscribers 3
month $125.
Gold trading subscriptions
$1500 one year; $555
Quarterly.
Platinum edition for
money managers $10000
per year; $3000 quarterly.
Institutional rate is
$3000 per month; $25,000
annual.
"Can you afford NOT to have financial astrology
in YOUR
future?"
Stop reading Wall Street,
Next Week, last week:
YES, I WANT TO SUBSCRIBE
*********************************************************************************************
PAST
WALL STREET NEXT
WEEK REPORTS
FRIDAY
11 am listen to our Internet
radio program TRADING BY
THE STARS.
(c)
2004 All
rights
reserved. The Astrologers
Fund "Always
a Stellar Performance"
wsnw@Afund.com
212/949-7211
Fax 212/949-7274 370 Lexington
Avenue, Suite 416
New York, N.Y. 10017-6503
Author:
INVESTING BY THE
STARS, THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY,TRADING
BY THE STARS
(01)
May 13-15, 2005
Eleventh Astrology
& Stock MarketConference
NYC
DISCLAIMER
: PAST
RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE
OF FUTURE FORECASTING
ACCURACY OR PROFITABLE
TRADING
RESULTS.
INVESTORS
ARE REMINDED TO PERFORM
THEIR OWN DUE DILIGENCE
BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT
DECISION. ALWAYS INDEPENDENLY
INVESTIGATE
AND FULLY UNDERSTAND ALL RISK
EFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT.
The Astrologers
Fund Inc. Accepts
No Liability Whatsoever
For Any Loss Arising
From Any Use
Of Its Report
Or It's Contents. The AstrologersFund
Inc. Or Its Clients
Usually Holds Positions
In The Stocks and/or MarketInstruments
Mentioned And May Buy
Or Sell At Any Time Without
Notice depending on market
conditions and personal
financial conditions. This
InformationIs In No Way A Representation
To Buy Or Sell Securities,
Bonds, Options
Or Futures. This information
is not intended
to be used as the sole basis of
any investment decisions,
nor should it be construedas
advice designed to meet the
investment needs of any
particular investor.
ALWAYS CHECK WITH YOUR
LICENSED FINANCIAL
PLANNER OR BROKER
BEFORE BUYING OR
SELLING ON THE RECOMMENDATIONS
OF THE
ASTROLOGERS FUND Inc.
IHI has been an AFUND
client since 1994 and is currently paying monthly
$2,500 consulting fees and $500 for banner ads on
our website. May 15, 2002, an affiliated company, Susan
Hahn & Associates became IHI’s media representative
with a monthly fee of $1500.
April 1, 2004, Karma Media
(KRMA) became an AFUND client and paid $2500 in April and May.
Contract expected to resume by the Fall..
May 17 2004 Health Sciences Group (HESG) became an
AFUND client and will be paying 15K shares of free trading stock
(approximately $2500 monthly for six months) as a consulting fee.
Please read our Disclaimer for
more information and note that my clients and
I are shareholders and may act in the open market.
RETURN TO MAIN MENU