Wall Street Next Week JULY 19, 2004
WALL STREET,
NEXT WEEK
Financial Astrology for successful investors
and traders"
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WEEK: JULY 19, 2004
FINANCIAL
ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. JULY MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
7. AFUND LETTERS
1. THE MARKET UPSIDE IS LIMITED; THE DOWNSIDE RISK IS FAR GREATER
What is Intel worth? What is IBM worth? What is Dell worth? All these companies
are performing well fundamentally, but are they good buy and hold investments
into 2005? NOTE: I plan to own all three BEFORE the end of 2004. Should
you buy them now, or wait until the Dog days of August? The latter
is likely to be my bet. However, despite the high likelihood of a very late
August to September Republican convention rally, market vulnerabilities will
remain high. As time goes on, fewer will believe the economy is getting
better.
PLATINIUM CHANNEL: GOING FOR THE GOLD
It looks like the tide will soon be turning in the annual classic Black (Oil)
vs. Yellow Gold championship. We believe that a buy Gold/Sell
Oil hedge is appropriate at either $397 gold and/or $44 Oil.
Guest Hyde Park Soap Box - Sydney Morning Herald
”The high level of personal debt being carried by Australian consumers has
been described as a time bomb for the Australian economy. Professor Julian
Disney of the University of New South Wales says 2004-05 will be a particularly
bad year as we come to the end of what he describes as a debt-driven boom.
Disney says the problem is that current levels of economic growth in Australia
are largely illusory as it is being funded by debt. In addition, Disney is
concerned that this debt is going into inflated land values rather than into
other areas of consumption, which would feed job creation. Financial advisors
say consumers should carefully assess the sustainability of their debt arrangements.”
HW: Similar issues apply to the United Kingdom and partially to the United
States, which further suffers from “guns and caviar” - excessive military
spending and revenue deficit!
TRADERS: This past Friday or today (Monday) could mark a short term market
bottom.
INVESTORS: We see no reason to bargain hunt just yet, except in a few special
situations before August.
KEYDATES: July 22
DJIA:
10200 S1, 10130 S2 10045 S3 10200 PIVOT R1 10250 R2 10305 R3
10345
NASDAQ: 1900 S1 1880 S2 1867
S3 1959 PIVOT
XOI:
Second Distribution 650 OB
GOLD:
403 PIVOT
NEW MARKET SENTIMENT Worry first (Down), then late bargain hunting rally.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
12/31/2003 EOD: SPX 1111 DJIA 10453 NASDAQ
2003.
FAIR VALUE: DJIA <9800,
NASDAQ <1800, GOLD > 403
While the internal Stock Market astrology, as in 2003, is mixed, the external
risk potential is horrific!
SOON MORE INVESTORS WILL UNDERSTAND WHY WE HAVE BEEN RECOMMENDING EXTREMELY
HIGH CASH POSITIONS
2. “This week we advising investors to “Accumulate Gold on Weakness”, and
Traders “To Buy Gold on strength”. As gold has been hovering over $400,
it will soon become a buy and hold investing position for us until the Fall.
$400 is not yet firm support, and there could be another test down to the
stops around secondary support (397-398). At that time, we would be
buying the XAU for a fall run to 100. Alternately, should $400 hold until
next Friday, we would be buyers of physical gold in the $400-$403 range.
Outside of holdings in Placer (PDG) and Newmont (NEM), we have now added
Anglo American (AAUK) to our recommended core gold stock portfolio.
AAUK is also owns 45% of De Beers, thus it also offers a currency and diamond
(bull market) hedge.”
WSNW subscribers can visit our premium post S: Mining Stocks
2004 to be updated on Monday for updated price targets.
IPO Watch: Flat-screen maker LG Philips raised $1 billion in its initial
public offering, the second-biggest technology offering in Asia this year.
LG Philips is a joint venture between South Korea's LG Electronics and Philips
Electronics of the Netherlands. LG Philips will start trading on the
New York Stock Exchange on July 23 under the ticker symbol "LPL". Depending
on the actual TIME of its first trade, we plan to buy LPL in August or October.
3. UN
report: Norway enjoys top life quality Norway, Sweden, Australia, Canada
and the Netherlands rank as the best five countries to live in according
to the UN Human Development Index. This reports rates per capita income as
well as educational levels, health care and life expectancy in measuring
a nation's well-being. [US is number 8].
Norwegian 'Hurtigruten' coastal liners are experiencing their best season
ever due to an increasing number of visitors from the US and southern Europe.
"This season will be the best ever," Arne Trengereid, CEO of the Troms County's
Steamship Lines. Trengereid said that with the low exchange rate for the
Norwegian krone, foreign holidaymakers no longer regarded Norway as an expensive
country in which to travel. However, at the same time Statistics Norway reports
that the construction cost index of plumbing works in commercial buildings
increased by 0.6% in June and material costs increased by 1.1%. On
a year-to-year basis, plumbing construction costs increased by 6.5% and material
costs by 8.6%. Meanwhile, the debts amassed by Norwegian households have
increased by 11.3% year-on-year according to the Bank of Norway. Debts are
increasing faster than the income! Norwegians now have almost as large an
amount of debts in relation to their income as they did just before the bank
crisis at the end of the 1980s. Finally there is North Sea Oil, Norway’s
major export and revenue generator. While speculators remain on the buy side
of the oil market due to persistent fears of disruptions to crude flows in
Iraq and possible refinery outages in the United States, we nonetheless recommend
a reduction in two of our favorite global oil companies in line with our
XOI Second Distribution, Statoil (STO) and Norsk Hydro (NHY). However, we
still would hold Petroleum Geo-Services (PGEOY) and Stolt Offshore (SOSA).
4. "We expect profit growth to decelerate in the second half of 2004."
Abby Joseph Cohen, chair, Goldman Sachs' investment policy
HW: I agree.
"I think some of the earnings expectations have been lowered over the past
few weeks, and that'll be built into prices. That does give us some room
to the upside of this trading range we're stuck in should earnings come in
strong."
Doug Sandler, chief equity strategist, Wachovia Securities
HW: Yes, but earnings will be at best mixed as this past week, so we have
a LIMITED upside, with a far greater potential downside market risk short
term.
"People are starting to say, 'Wow, we might have gone through the biggest
part of growth in this economic recovery,'"
Robert Mikkelsen, managing director of institutional trading, The Advest
Group
HW: Like Wow!
5. Dividends
remain strangely out of favor
New
Market Valuation Graph
Is the market cheap or expensive? Click to get Morningstar's take.
1.3
billion new Chinese cars – and soaring gold
6. READERS: What about interest rates?
HW: Short term, obviously they are going UP. The question is whether they
will be above 2% by year end. This will be more widely known after August
6th.
7. HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENT
READER: Rumor has it that there was some misunderstanding in the lawsuit
during the AGM and some clarification needs to be made regarding whether
doing the welding by hand instead of robotics will be just as good in terms
of efficiencies for the kick off of production.
HW: This should be covered and explained in the next IHI press release.
READER: Your radio show mentioned that you will be explaining how IHI has
3 chances in July and 2 chances in September to make shareholders happy.
When and where will this be explained? In the next WSNW?
HW: This should be covered in our IHI Story Part XIX to be posted shortly
after IHI’s next press release.
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Author: INVESTING BY THE STARS and THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY
May 13-15, 2005 11th Astrology & Stock Market Conference NYC
INVESTORS ARE REMINDED TO PERFORM THEIR OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE MAKING ANY
INVESTMENT DECISION. ALWAYS INDEPENDENTLY INVESTIGATE AND FULLY UNDERSTAND
ALL RISK BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT.
DISCLAIMER: PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE FORECASTING
ACCURACY OR PROFITABLE TRADING RESULTS.
The Astrologers Fund Inc. accepts No Liability Whatsoever for Any Loss arising
from Any Use of its Report or its Contents. The Astrologers Fund Inc. or
its Clients Usually Holds Positions in the Stocks and/or Market Instruments
Mentioned and May Buy or Sell At Any Time Without Notice depending on market
conditions and personal financial conditions. This Information Is In No Way
A Representation to Buy Or Sell Securities, Bonds, Options Or Futures.
This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment
decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment
needs of any particular investor.
ALWAYS CHECK WITH YOUR LICENSED FINANCIAL PLANNER OR BROKER BEFORE BUYING
OR SELLING ON THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE ASTROLOGERS FUND INC.
IHI has been an AFUND client since 1994 and is currently paying monthly $2,500
consulting fees and $500 for banner ads on our website. May 15, 2002, an
affiliated company, Susan Hahn & Associates became IHI’s media representative
with a monthly fee of $1500.
May 2004 Health Sciences Group (HESG) became an AFUND client and will be
paying $2500 monthly (in free trading stock) as a consulting fee.
Please read our Disclaimer for more information and note that my clients
and I are shareholders and may act in the open market.
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Subscribers
please send your comments,
questions and suggestions
to
Letters
.
Silver
Investing subscriptions
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Quarterly.
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(c)
2004 All
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reserved. The Astrologers
Fund "Always
a Stellar Performance"
wsnw@Afund.com
212/949-7211
Fax 212/949-7274 370 Lexington
Avenue, Suite 416 New
York, N.Y. 10017-6503
Author:
INVESTING BY THE STARS,
THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY,TRADING
BY THE STARS
(01)
May 13-15, 2005 Eleventh
Astrology &
Stock MarketConference
NYC
DISCLAIMER
: PAST RESULTS
ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE
OF
FUTURE FORECASTING ACCURACY
OR PROFITABLE TRADING
RESULTS.
INVESTORS
ARE REMINDED TO PERFORM
THEIR OWN DUE DILIGENCE
BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT
DECISION. ALWAYS INDEPENDENLY
INVESTIGATE
AND FULLY UNDERSTAND ALL RISK
EFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT.
The Astrologers
Fund Inc. Accepts
No Liability Whatsoever
For Any Loss Arising
From Any Use
Of Its Report
Or It's Contents. The AstrologersFund
Inc. Or Its Clients
Usually Holds Positions
In The Stocks and/or MarketInstruments
Mentioned And May Buy Or
Sell At Any Time Without
Notice depending on market
conditions and personal financial
conditions. This InformationIs
In No Way A Representation
To Buy Or Sell Securities,
Bonds, Options
Or Futures. This information
is not intended to
be used as the sole basis of any
investment decisions,
nor should it be construedas
advice designed to meet the investment
needs of any particular
investor.
ALWAYS CHECK WITH YOUR
LICENSED FINANCIAL
PLANNER OR BROKER
BEFORE BUYING OR
SELLING ON THE RECOMMENDATIONS
OF THE
ASTROLOGERS FUND Inc.
IHI has been an AFUND
client since 1994 and is currently paying monthly
$2,500 consulting fees and $500 for banner ads on our
website. May 15, 2002, an affiliated company, Susan
Hahn & Associates became IHI’s media representative
with a monthly fee of $1500.
April 1, 2004, Karma Media (KRMA)
became an AFUND client and paid $2500 in April and May. Contract
expected to resume by the Fall..
May 17 2004 Health Sciences Group (HESG) became an AFUND
client and will be paying 15K shares of free trading stock (approximately
$2500 monthly for six months) as a consulting fee.
Please read our Disclaimer for
more information and note that my clients and
I are shareholders and may act in the open market.
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