· U.S. April Trade Deficit Widens to a Record $48.3 Billion.
· World military spending close to $1 trillion in 2003.
· U.S. May Producer Prices Rise 0.8%; Core Rate Rises 0.3%.
· U.S. First-Quarter Current Account Deficit Widens to Record $144.9 Billion.
· "One new worry that has appeared on the scene is that investors now think Fed policy won't be back to 'neutral' until Fed Funds is back at three percent," said Merrill Lynch strategists.
· The New York Stock Exchange last sale of a regular seat sold for $1.51 million, down $5,000 from the prior sale on June 2. NYSE seat prices are correlated with the health of the market and the economy. Technically, this could be a short term top.
· This month a poll of equity analysts in North America, Europe and Asia forecast that major stock indices would end 2004 between three and 15 percent above current levels, with the S&P 500 benchmark rising by around four percent.I agree wholeheartedly with Bill and given a possible 4% rise in the stock market vs. a possible 5%-20%+ drop, I continue to recommend extremely high cash levels at least until July 11, 2004, and continued caution until just before Labor Day.
· Bill Gross, who runs the world's biggest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co., believes that the outlook for the global economy is uncertain for the next 20 and 30 years. “Too much debt, geopolitical risk and several bubbles have created a very unstable environment which can turn any minute.''
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