Wall Street Next Week JUNE 14, 2004
WALL STREET,
NEXT WEEK
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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK:
JUNE 14, 2004
FINANCIAL
ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. JUNE MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
7. AFUND LETTERS
MUNDANE ASTROLOGY 101
PLUTO (Intensity) MARS (Violence): Recent Saudi Arabia
terrorism
SATURN (Testing) Bush SUN (Self): Lowest approval rating
of his term
SATURN (Leaving) Bush SUN: Tenant (high
profile departure)
SATURN (Leaving) US SUN (Leader): Reagan Death (high
profile departure)
While markets continue to climb a wall of worry and debate whether Alan will
raise rates ¼ or ½ point June 30th, a majority of economists
at Wall Street's largest bond-trading firms believe that The
Federal Reserve will at least double its 1 percent interest-rate target
for overnight loans between banks by year-end. If so, the Fed will remain
behind the curve. Be that as it may, the Pluto/Mars and Saturn/Aspects remain
dominant in June. While it can be argued that the Gods have been appropriated
by the above four events, there still remains a high risk for more such astrologically
appropriate terrestrial events. Hence our MARKET
RED ALERT to June 16; MARKET ORANGE ALERT UNTIL
JULY 11.
TRADERS: Tuesday CPI may be an eye opening for no inflation
Bulls.
INVESTORS: The next 10 days offer an extremely poor risk/reward for
Bullish investors. They may not soon forget the old Wall Street Adage: “Sell
in May, then go away.”
KEYDATES: JUNE 15, 16, 18
DJIA:
9800 Support 10,500 Resistance
NASDAQ: 2000 PIVOT
GASOLINE: TRADING BUY
MARKET SENTIMENT IS NOW WORRY AND SOME FEAR, BUT NOT PANIC.
DON’T BUY AND HOLD: BE LIQUID WITH A BALANCED AND DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO!
12/31/2003 EOD: SPX 1111 DJIA 10453 NASDAQ
2003.
FAIR VALUE: DJIA <9800,
NASDAQ <1800, GOLD > 400
While the internal Stock Market astrology, as in 2003, is mixed, the external
risk potential is horrific!
Short term, If you were unhappy about markets March 2000 and September 2001,
don't expect to be singing in the rain June 2004! THIS WEEK OR NEXT INVESTORS
MAY UNDERSTAND WHY WE HAVE BEEN RECOMMENDING EXTREMELY HIGH CASH POSITIONS.
2. Property prices in Australia are falling in mid-2004, while company profits
are rising. As a result, investors are returning to the share market, pushing
it to record levels. Australia's largest broker, Commonwealth Securities,
believes that the materials sector offers the best prospects, forecasting
returns of 44% for the next year. Furthermore, Ian MacFarlane Reserve Bank
governor said the “normal” range for Australian rates was 5.25% to 6.25%.
Coupled with astrological indicators, this is why we are bullish on the Australian
Dollar. Outside of holding A$ in bank CDs, our current favorite “accumulate
on any weakness” Australian stock is BHP Billiton (BHP).
3. Supermarket
offers shoppers chance to win a job
“A supermarket in Brazil is attracting shoppers by giving them the chance
to win a job. Customers who spend more than £6 at the supermarket,
in the town of Colombo, are entered into a draw. The holders of the first
two tickets drawn will be given a guaranteed job for six months.” This does
not inspire great confidence in the Brazilian economy at this time; we remain
underweighted in Brazil.
Conversely, the Motley Fool Don't Blame It
on RIO believes that “There are systemic risks to consider before investing
in Brazil. The country has a long history of volatile growth rates, inflation,
and interest rates. There is reason to think that Brazil could do well here.”
Perhaps, but the three AFUND key holdings there, AMBEV (ABV), CVRD (RIO)
and RIO PETROLEO BRASIL (PBR) are recommended to be held and/or distributed
according to their memberships primarily.
4. “The fear is that we're seeing an earnings deceleration, not typically
good for the market.''
James Grefenstette, manager, Federated Growth Strategies Fund
HW: Fundamentally, things just are NOT really good for the market.
“There's going to be earnings disappointments coming by the third quarter.
We don't think the forecasts that are out there reflect the changes in the
economy.”
Peter Wall, chief investment strategist, Chase Personal Financial Services
HW: I agree.
"In the past three months, markets have priced in an incredible number of
negative factors with terrorist attacks, high oil prices and the prospect
of Fed rate hikes, as though these worst-case scenarios could all happen
at the same time. This means we now have ahead of us a potential for good
surprises as all this bad news won't materialize."
Eric Mijot, head of equities, SG Asset Management
HW: Yet we do have terror attacks, high oil prices AND fed rate hikes! I
don’t follow or agree with the logic of your reasoning
5. Investing:
Is It Time to Lighten Up on American Stocks?
Pimco's
Arnott Shuns Stocks and Bonds, Waits for Prices to Fall
“Almost everything is moderately to significantly expensive,'' said Arnott,
49, who uses mathematical models to evaluate markets. The mutual fund's cash
``will let us pounce on opportunities if any market becomes attractive.''
So, Numbers
Don't Lie, Hmmm?
6. READER: Whatever happened to de beers? Did the company go private?
What do you consider to be the major diamond company traded on U. S. exchanges
since de beers appears to be unavailable?
HW: It is owned by Anglo American (AAUK), one of the world’s largest mining
and natural resource companies, with a wide range of interests in gold, platinum
and diamonds. You can also look at Aber Diamonds (ABER) which now owns 51%
of Harry Winston as well as Australian Billiton (BHP) which operates seven
segments: Petroleum, Aluminum, Base Metals, Carbon Steel Materials; Diamonds
and Specialty Products; Energy Coal, and Stainless Steel Materials.
Note while BHP is not a pure diamond play, it is a good currency play (A$)
and sports a relative cheap P/e.
READER: Subject: NYSE will close Friday for Pres. Reagan's State Funeral
Interesting - Sun op Pluto early that A.M.
HW: It is almost makes you believe that there is something to Astrology after
all!
7. HERE WE TALK ABOUT AFUND CLIENTS
READER: regarding AGM IHI, Just want to know if it would be worth attending
or not, because it is possible I will be in the US that time, so I could
maybe pass by Vancouver. Will any new info be released, who is present there?
The whole management? How long does it takes? Is there a factory visit?
HW: The AGM takes place at the IHI Delta Factory, so you would get a factory
tour. If you have never seen it, that would make the trip worthwhile.
Management should be present. Whether new news will be released at
the meeting, I don’t know. However, even if I did, I couldn’t say.
Finally, I believe any excuse to visit beautiful Vancouver would make sense.
I will be in Vancouver from June 25 to July 2.
READER: Jupiter will hit the IHI 4th cusp on 6/11. The party
begins. Do you agree?
HW: A number of astrologers do agree with you and perhaps they were among
the bottom-fishing buyers yesterday [6/10] when IHI moved up 25%!
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