WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK
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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: October 8, 2001
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY
FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. OCTOBER MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
AFTER OCTOBER MARKETS TARGET PRE-911 LEVELS, THEN WHAT?
We continue to believe global markets are targeting pre-911 levels, e.g.
DJIA 9605 and Nasdaq 1695. This would represent the first (or second) of
many victories to come in WWWIII. However, we don’t see US markets
much higher than 9861 pre-October 19, short of a Gulf War rally type of victory
next week. Let us not forget there will be loss selling in October,
as well as December. We believe this will take place later in the month,
rather than this next week. We will basically remain long until post
911 levels and are prepared to begin switching horses (stocks) the week after
next. Until then, “buy and hold” is the way to stay.
KEY DATES: October 16, 17, 19
DJIA:
9000-9605
NASDAQ: -> 1695+
Canadian $ Begin
intermediate term accumulation
Now there is LIGHT AT END OF THE TUNNEL: Saturn-Opposition Pluto does end
May 2002!
POSITIONAL TRADERS: Markets will be HIGHER in November.
INVESTORS: FALL 2002, the markets will be HIGHER.
2. Given the Canadian dollar sale, we continue to recommend three old favorites
for additional accumulation:
Celestica (CLS), GoldCorp (GG) and International High Tech Industries (IHITF)*.
World gold producers, reeling from two decades of depressed prices, are
beginning an annual $200 million marketing campaign. The initiative will attempt
to stimulate consumer demand for gold jewelry. "We've all seen what
marketing dollars do for diamonds, Gucci and Coca-Cola," said Randall Oliphant,
CEO of Barrick Gold. Given that Gold is preparing to take out $300
shortly, we will continue to trade on the long side and distribute circa
XAU 68.
3.
CNN.com - More sex, less sleep: U.S. attack reactions vary
“Sexual activity is up. Flying is down. Gas mask sales are soaring.
People are gorging themselves on candy and ice cream but also ducking for
cover at the smallest noise. The thought of driving into an underground
parking garage can be chilling…. Pepper Schwartz, a University of Washington
sociologist, said there are many reasons people have sex during crises and
predicted a "baby boomlet" would follow nine months after the attacks but
one not nearly as big as the baby boom that followed the end of World War
Two. “ In addition to handgun sales spiking up 500% post 911, clearly
both contraceptive manufacturers as well as Gerbers foods will benefit short
and long term respectively. The best way to play this trend (outside of
“participation” J) could be Toys ‘R’ Us (TOY). While this recommendation
is a bit early, we rate TOY a long term accumulate under $18.10.
“It is not different this time.” Sales of religious books spiked up during
the 1991 Gulf War. Bible sales rose 27 percent for Family Christian
Stores. Books on prophecy there were hardly selling before Sept. 15, now
sales are up 80 percent. "People are unsettled and unsure and they want to
know how events like this play in the bigger picture," said Rolf Zettersten,
vice president of Warner Books, an AOL Time Warner company. "They turn to
authors who can interpret scripture and prophesy to find some kind of comfort
and explanation." Is this enough reason to buy and hold AOL?
We think not and rate it an under perform until January and suggest selling/distribution
between 38 and 40.
4. “We are going into a period right now in which I think the market has
more potential on the upside than the downside.''
Ned Riley, chief investment strategist, State Street Global Advisors
HW: Most certainly.
"Whether we've seen a bottom is the big question, and I don't think we
have."
Ralph Acampora, director of technical research, Prudential Securities
HW: I disagree and think we have. If not, we will almost definitely
before the end of October.
"I'm sure we are in a recession, probably a relatively deep and extended
one, but they are part of business life and we are prepared."
Warren Buffett, chairman, Berkshire Hathaway
HW: I don’t consider an economic slowdown that ends by May 2002 “extended”,
nor is far less than a 5% drop “deep.”
5.
What to do with my $.10 stock?
$340 Gold
6. READER: Do you pay any attention to a void of course moon when you buy
or sell, or make decisions about same?
HW: No.
READER: May I please ask you to tell me what data do you use for your forecasts?
I am not asking for the Patterns you are looking for in this data.
I am simply asking what planet/star/sun/moon data are you looking at to make
your predictions.
HW: Read my INVESTING BY THE STARS for hints. However, much of my
financial astrological work is proprietary at this time.
READER: IHI --price today - how disappointing especially for the company
and where they are at. This catastrophe that has happened in USA, how much
do you think it will affect positive increases in IHI price as they do indeed
near commercial production. Realistically as they announce first order next
month what price do you anticipate now end of this year?
HW: Current IHI prices are absurd and insane. Anyway, I am buying
a little more IHITF* for myself in October, November and December as they
remain on schedule for commercial production.
READER: I have a couple of questions regarding IHI. When does IHI
expect to see the first foreign factories to be built, and will IHI receive
a certain percentage of the profits when they are in operation? I do
wonder why so many foreign licenses have been sold but but as of yet no one
is building any new IHI factories ?
HW: 1) In 2002, one to three foreign factories should be built.
2) Yes, IHI* receives 51% of the profits from all factory joint venture
partners.
3) They cannot build another factory until the first factory in Vancouver
is in production. It is fully built and the last of the equipment ordered
arrives end of November. First orders are are to be announced in October.
However, remember it can take up to 2-3 months for a brand new technology
to be fully integrated and functioning. So I don't expect new factories
to be built until Q1 or Q2 2002.
READER: I'm STILL trying to get $100,000 back to invest with you.
I had to sell my house quickly and then to get another in an area I would
want to live in, I put $85,000 equity in it. Now I'm thinking maybe
I should sell while interest rates are low, buy something little that I could
rent out later, and have the $100,000 to invest with you. Do you think the
real estate "bubble" is next?
HW: The real estate market IS slowing down. Many think the bottom will
come in the Spring. As astrologers, we know that there is danger until at
least May 2002 when Saturn is finished opposing Pluto. However, thereafter,
Saturn enters into Cancer in June 2003. Note what Saturn is doing to the
Telecom industry while transiting the Sign of Gemini! So the danger can
last longer. My own thinking is that I am looking to buy in Spring
2002. Certainly there is a great danger of a “hard landing” that includes
a real estate bubble end. As a rule of thumb, I recommend selling (if you
haven’t already) if you don’t need it. Much does depend on location, location,
location. As to your specific case, there are other issues to
consider such as taxes, the value of home ownership, personal desires, etc.
I recommend giving me a phone call to discuss this further.
READER: I understand your use of Pivot in trading, but what does “Nasdaq
Pivot 1680<>1700” mean?
HW: Rather than a single pivot, i.e. to buy above 1700 and sell below in
day trading, this means that last week we began with the advice to be short
below 1680 and long above 1700. Between 1680 and 1700 on Nasdaq we recommend
no action.
READER: As per my Astrology Guru - Mr. Vivek Seth:
"Situation will be turbulent worldwide as a fallout of Flight 911 till
May'2002. Various aspects with Saturn, Mars and Dragonhead Formation are
not favorable for the world at large and especially Asian and West Asian
region. Situation will look as if the events are under US Control,
but will fizzle out in March/April'2002. Some thing unexpected can happen
in March/April'2002, which will affect the world markets. The scenario worldwide
will improve only after June'2002 onwards".
HW: Be that as it may, there are many, many profitable trading and investment
opportunities well in advance of Spring 2002.
READER: I was wondering if you follow earnings warnings and earnings reports
and put them into you calculations/projections. Last earnings month (July)
there seemed not only to be a large reaction to the earnings but also what
companies were projecting for the next quarter. If so, do you mind me asking
when this month do you feel we'll get past most of the negative weighting
on the Nasdaq-type company earning reports and/or do you feel they'll have
much of an impact?
HW: Yes I do look at them at times and believe that poor 3Q earnings are
already mostly built into current pricing.
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2001 All rights reserved. The Astrologers
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Author: INVESTING BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY,TRADING
BY THE STARS (01)
May 17-19, 2001 Tenth Annual Astrology &
Stock MarketConference
NYC
DISCLAIMER
: PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF
FUTURE FORECASTING ACCURACY OR PROFITABLE TRADING
RESULTS.
INVESTORS ARE REMINDED TO
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