WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK
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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: September 24, 2001
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR
THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. OCTOBER MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
FALL CLEARANCE STOCK MARKET SALE: BARGAINS, BARGAINS, BARGAINS
Today, many stocks are not only undervalued, but almost cheap! Within
30 days, we recommend full stock allocation. From a 12 month perspective,
cash AND bonds will under perform stocks. Eleven out of our 12 AFUND GLOBAL
12 stocks are now rated long term buys. Some like General Electric [GE],
are also strong positional trading buys with 20% expected profit forecast
in under 90 days.
I do realize that October markets will be rough as global markets search
for a bottom that may not hold into 2002. Nonetheless, before the end of
year, many blue chip quality stocks will have appreciated 20% or more from
current levels. Our forecast for 3Q 2001 GDP of –2% seems to be on target.
Ironically, the remedy was provided by the 911 attacks on civilization.
Hundreds of billions of dollars will now flow into the US economy. Computer
and Telecom spending will increase by billions due to WTC. Dell is
operating 24 hours a day to meet new created order demand. Do you think Oil
stocks will stay down? We don’t. This fall sale has something for everyone.
There are high dividend stocks for long term investors offering more than
10% yields. Even if cut, they should strongly outperform bonds and
cash.
Our advice is to reduce cash exposure and be fully invested by end
of October.
ARE MARKETS TARGETING THE OCT 98 LOWS: DJIA 7399, SPX 923 AND NASDAQ 1357?
Even if they do as they correct the Greenspan LTCM bailout mistake, you should
be buying over the next 30 days. The more risk you are willing to tolerate
the sooner you should buy. Risk-adverse investors should wait until Mid-October
before committing more than 50% of available cash. Don’t rush, but don’t
be afraid to buy
NEXT ISSUE PANIC INVESTING and WILL OCTOBER BE THE CRUELIST MONTH?
KEYDATES: September 23, 26, October
1, 2, 3
DJIA:
8000 Support, R1 8400 R2 8500 R3 8800
NASDAQ: 1400 Support
R1 1450 R2 1500 R3 1600
XAU:
Begin distribution
XOI:
Begin long term accumulation
WSNW subscribers are advised to review weekly our
AFUND GLOBAL 12
.
Now THERE IS LIGHT AT END OF THE TUNNEL Saturn-Opposition Pluto does end
May 2002!
POSITIONAL TRADERS: Markets will be HIGHER in November than now.
INVESTORS: FALL 2002, the markets will be HIGHER than now.
2. We are happy to have bought IBM at 90.60 on Friday: we are holding long
term for 120. GE is a positional trading buy to 41, as well as a long-term
core holding until 45-50. Almost half the stocks we regularly monitor were
upgraded last week, ranging from GE from buy to strong buy to Disney from
Sell to market perform. Create a list of the stocks you always wanted to
own and buy them as follows:
Aggressive accounts: 40% next week and then 20% a week for the next three
weeks.
Conservative accounts: 20% a week for next five weeks.
3. Dear Henry: a little lighter news to enjoy:
“If you bought $1000 worth of Nortel stock one year ago, it would now be
worth $49.
If you bought $1000 worth of Budweiser (the beer, not the stock) one year
ago, drank all the beer, and traded in the cans for the nickel deposit, you
would have $79.
My advise to you is have more large parties.”
HW: Great advice, but remember the stock of Anheuser-Busch [BUD] closed at
40.40 Friday. One year ago it closed at 43. Compare this with the SPX close
of 1449 and 965 and it just goes to show you can buy sin stocks in hellish
times and have your cake and eat it too!
Despite experiencing many years of losses, I have long admired Lloyd's underwriters
for insuring individuals against death or injury caused by a piece of disintegrating
satellite falling from the sky. At Lloyd's: Heritage: Unusual Risks you can
find insurance against two or more of your staff winning the UK national
lottery and not returning to work.
Many banks will want Rogue trader coverage to provide cover for a loss sustained
by a bank as a result of unauthorized trading which has been concealed by
a trader or falsely recorded in the institution's records. The so-called
'rogue trader' cover extends to commitments in excess of permitted limits,
trading in unauthorized instruments and trading with unapproved counter-parties.
However, what I believe investors really want is re-imbursement when your
money manager under performs his/her benchmark! However, if offered,
Lloyd’s would be losing far in excess of current multi-billion dollar losses!
Currently the UK is increasingly attractive and we recommend raising global
allocation of the FTSE 100 at current levels under 4500.
4. “Historical studies suggest the market goes down, then bounces back after
an event like this.”
Edgar Peters, chief investment officer, Panagora Asset Management
HW: We agree it’s not different this time.
"The traffic may remain one-way in the short-term but after today the UK
equity market will be more oversold than at any time since the crash of 1987."
Mike Lenhoff, chief portfolio strategist, Gerrard
HW: I concur, and believe that the next 30 days could be the best buying
opportunity since then.
“Basically it's just an exercise in figuring out which stocks are people
going to be kicking themselves over in a couple years.''
Kevin Landis, portfolio manager, Firsthand Funds
HW: Easy: just read WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK regularly for some of the best
stock picks around.
5.
Disasters Leave but a Small Footprint on the Markets
.
Barron's: Market undervalued by 17%
HW: We think 8%, although markets seem certain to appreciate more than 17%
from Friday’s close before the end of 2001.
“Please consider making a contribution and post this message to other appropriate
listservers
The New York Times 9/11 Neediest Fund P. O. Box 5193 New York, NY 10087”
HW: Like many New Yorkers, I contributed to it along with a special extra
donation to the American Red Cross. I urge Readers to visit
http://www.redcross.com
and http://charitywave.com
.
6. READER: With the DJIA having breached 8500 and NASDAQ having breached
1492, what are the next strong support levels, in your view, for both DJIA
and NASDAQ?
HW: 8000 and 1400.
READER: Off we go into the wild blue unknown (Boldly of course). Many people
will "BULL" forward as an 'emotional' retaliation ... Such things as "don't
let the ba... win! Let's kick some a ... and ... we'll just show these a
... who's the Daddy! will be part of this ... people doing their part in
what they know how to do. Perhaps we may see many moving to foreign markets
and products for security reasons. I was wondering what you thought about
that?
HW: We were already moving out of the US dollar into European and Asian markets.
911, ironically, has made the US markets MORE attractive and we will be investing
far more domestically because of it.
READER: This is one occasion when I sincerely hope that my stock forecast
is dead wrong, but I am showing the NYSE (Comp and Dow-30) as continuing
in a downtrend, which will culminate around September 25th. Perhaps
the downtrend will be shallow, with a bottom around the 25th.....one can
hope ! Take care, and keep up the great work! (and we're all glad that you're
safe)
HW: Pre-911, your work was spot on. The Conference Board Confidence
report is released on September 25 at 10 am. Consumer confidence is
one of four most watched economic indicators. The others are stock market
prices, productivity and inflation. Wednesday evening, as you know,
Saturn goes Stationary Retrograde and everything may be different.
READER: Re: April lows are BROKEN!!! I think we should re-evaluate Saturn-Pluto's
incredible effect and get newer GNP figures (maybe) in this weekend's newsletter.
Hope you're having a good day (short I mean!).
HW: We stick by our –2.4% (2.2 adjusted) figures. I am not short, but
buying and ready to buy the many global stock picks that are finally bargains.
READER: Now we are moved from buy a stock at US mkt open (first day mkt resumed
trading) to the stage of:
if you buy a stock now, sure it will be higher after 1 year....
HW: The Saturn/Pluto aspect series is over in May 2002. EXACTLY on September
11, 2002, Jupiter opposes Neptune- you can see that 200 point rally from
here. Stocks will be higher one year from now for fundamental reasons as
well.
READER: You did suggest in the market commentary that margin calls
could bring the market lower and sure enough today some family trust was
forced to sell approx. 134 million shares of Disney @ $15. (below market
value to institutions) due to a margin call... being newer at this it's hard
to imagine what larger effect this will have on the market if more larger
players are forced out like this... have you taken this fully into account
into your calculations as we seek a stable bottom and new trading range?
HW: Yes. I believe we are near an interim bottom (within 30 days).
However, given war time, this may not be a stable bottom until after May
2002. Still, we are forecasting a Fall rally and are reducing
cash in all investment accounts and will be fully invested before the end
of October.
READER: I was just keeping a track of five of the largest American Defense
Contractors to the PENTAGON, which are listed at NYSE - "BA", "LMT", "GD",
"RTN" and "NOC". It is very interesting to note their price movements after
Flight 911. Good medium-term investment opportunities lie here. Your comments,
if any, on this sector - Defense Industry?
HW: Yes, in general these stocks will out perform during Saturn-Pluto cycle.
Boeing, which is down, is our first choice as a long term investment because
it is relatively the cheapest. That particular stock is down, but could be
up 25% by late Fall.
READER: re: Red Cross banner on AFUND web site Congratulations for sewing
the fabric of commerce (your web site) with action options to help in the
long fight ahead.
HW: Yes.
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TRADING BY THE STARS.
(c)
2001 All rights reserved. The Astrologers Fund
"Always a Stellar Performance"
wsnw@Afund.com
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Author:
INVESTING BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY,TRADING
BY THE STARS (01)
May 17-19, 2001 Tenth Annual Astrology & Stock
MarketConference
NYC
DISCLAIMER
: PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF
FUTURE FORECASTING ACCURACY OR PROFITABLE TRADING
RESULTS.
INVESTORS ARE REMINDED TO PERFORM
THEIR OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION.
ALWAYS INDEPENDENLY INVESTIGATE AND FULLY UNDERSTAND ALL RISK EFORE
MAKING ANY INVESTMENT.
The Astrologers Fund Inc.
Accepts No Liability Whatsoever
For Any Loss Arising From Any Use Of Its
Report Or It's Contents. The AstrologersFund Inc. Or Its Clients
Usually Holds Positions In The Stocks and/or MarketInstruments
Mentioned And May Buy Or Sell At Any Time Without Notice
depending on market conditions and personal financial conditions.
This InformationIs In No Way A Representation To Buy
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This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis
of any investment decisions, nor should it be
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* IHI and YJT are AFUND clients.
** From Cancall (O.CCCA) I received 2 million shares (free)
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