WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK

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WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK: September 10, 2001
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER


1. MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. CONFERENCE
7. LETTERS
 
THIS AND THAT IN THE NEWS
Forbes Informer reports a just published study by Princeton and Harvard economists stating that “the rich spend much less on fancy goods when their stock portfolios fall.”  If true, then it may finally be time to short the yacht makers and champagne and caviar retailers.

For Capitalism at its best, Alan Stillman, the chairman of the Smith & Wollensky Restaurant Group {SWRG} is pegging the price of Friday's lunch in all his group's restaurants to the Nasdaq close on Thursday. Every Friday, seven New York restaurants owned by Smith & Wollensky will offer prix fixe three-course lunches from noon to 5 p.m. The price? Whatever the Nasdaq's close was on Thursday, up or down. If the Nasdaq closed at 2000, your lunch would be $20.00.  Given Nasdaq’s Thursday close at 1705, you can dine at such chic NYC restaurants such as Cité, The Post House, Smith and Wollensky, Maloney and Porcelli and One for just $17.05.
As for a direct investment in SWRG, despite Jupiter being in Cancer, given the mad cow scare and what we wrote above, as with bread and butter at lunch, we plan on passing at this time.

The U.S. Justice Department announced Thursday it is no longer interested in seeking a court-ordered breakup of software giant Microsoft.  This is NO surprise given the strongly favorable astrological indicators on this stock plus the current laissez faire capitalistic inclinations of the current administration. What does Astrology say about the October 25th Launch of Windows XP? Stay tuned to this channel.

DANGER = CRISIS + OPPORTUNITY
The greatest danger to retail investors in this increasingly illiquid market is for a market wash out and margin calls. Avoid the use heavy margin until Mid to late October. The risk is too great to your financial health. Remember:
IT’S NOT OVER - IT’S JUST BEGINNING: Saturn-Opposition Pluto does NOT end until May 2002!
The opportunity: To accumulate the stocks of blue chip global titans at reasonable pricing.
 
KEYDATES:       September 13
DJIA:                   9600-10,000
NASDAQ:           1700-1825
US BONDS:        Continue distribution
EURO:                 Continue long term accumulation
 
2. Given Saturn-Pluto zeitgeist of failed mergers such as HON/GE, we believe an unwind of Compaq/Hewlett Packard is in order. HWP, as we forecast and planned, was automatically upgraded from Sell to Under Perform on Tuesday at 20. On Wednesday, we upgraded it once again to Market Neutral at 18.  However, there is no compelling reason to buy HWP as a long term investment given current weak management. Compaq (CPQ), on the other hand, is a horse of a different color. This was one of our favorite currently unloved computer stocks along with Yahoo (Yhoo).  Short term, we rate both an out perform, with an intermediate target of 12 and 14 respectively. However, unlike Yahoo, Intermediate term, we must avoid Compaq with its suicidal strategic direction.
 
Deutsche Telekom chairman Ron Sommer sees the company's share price becoming "much better" in 2002 once the sentiment surrounding technology stocks improves and the listing of T-Mobile goes ahead. Sommer said that he sees a fair value for DT shares at 65 Euros. "Analysts have all become more cautious, but most of them see our share (valued at) 30 Euros, That shows our huge undervaluation."
I agree. I re-iterate our strong long term investing buy on DT.
 
3. After months of silence, the Bush administration will weigh in "shortly" on a range of high-tech issues ranging from junk e-mail to online privacy. But at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the pressure is on to respond to six student suicides since early 1998. 74 percent of MIT students reported having had an emotional problem that interfered with daily functioning. According to a Boston Globe study published in February, MIT had a suicide rate of 10.2 per 100,000 students vs. 7 undergraduates per 100,000 at other US colleges who kill themselves. In Japan, suicides last year fell for the first time in six years. However the number of cases caused by distress over the economic slowdown, rose to a record-high. In 2000, 31,957 people killed themselves, down 3.3 per cent from a record 33,048 suicides in 1999, the National Police Agency reported. It was the third-largest number of suicides since the agency began compiling the statistics in 1978. Japanese suffering from poor health accounted for 15,539 cases, but suicides caused by economic hardship climbed to a record, rising 1.1 per cent to 6,838.  Clearly, the right market answer is to slowly accumulate Japan, but hold off on US technology.
 
Lugner City, A Viennese shopping centre has been inviting women to shop topless. All women appearing topless were offered vouchers worth £25, a bottle of champagne and a free meal. A spokesman for Lugner City's advertising department said: "As the campaign was a success, we prolonged it and invited more woman to come topless."  Despite this, we remain bearish on the broad retail sector. We previously downgraded Austria from outperform to neutral and need to see more beef and cheesecake before considering either an upgrade for 2002
 
4. “I see no incentives around for investors to buy aggressively. Chances are we'll see another wave of profit warnings when they announce half-year earnings in October. It would not be too late to start buying then.''
Keiko Kondo, senior strategist, UFJ Capital Markets Securities
HW: That is also true for US as well as Japanese securities.
 
“ People are panicking. Declines are really accelerating now and it's hard to pinpoint when it's going to end.''
Peter Bekius, comanager, Kempen & Co
HW: Not so hard if you look to the sky for assistance.
 
5. “Know the difference between the NASDAQ and the Titanic? The Titanic found a bottom.”
HW: Excellent, but not true.
 
“I'm not buying until the Cow jumps over the Moon, Mickey crosses Pluto, and the Fork runs away with the Spoon.”
HW: Interesting. I agree that Disney is in trouble for some time, and until Pluto crosses it (reverses), it’s best an avoid.
As to the Cow over the Moon- I presume this is a reference to Burger King and MacDonald's and the Mad cow scare. I also agree it’s best to wait until it is over, given the 2000th case in England.
As for the fork running away with the Spoon, it took me a moment to I realize you were talking about Jupiter in Cancer and restaurant stocks.  Yes, should the markets tumble, they could become defensive buys.
 
Euro's Entry Is Forcing Europe's Hidden Hoards to Surface [http://nytimes.com/2001/09/06/international/europe/06MONE.html]
HW: This one of the last major supports of the US dollar ends in a few months.
 
6.  The Astrologers Fund Inc. is pleased to announce the addition of Barry Rosen as a speaker at our May NY CONFERENCE 2002 . Mr. Rosen has been timing the markets since 1987 and is President of Fortucast Market Timing, where he combines astrological signals and traditional technical tools to time the daily futures markets. For further information, visit his financial astrology web site or call Fortucast at 1-800-788-2796.
 
7. READER: I've stated all along that US mkts will follow foreign mkts lower to take out March lows.. like 1929 you saw phony rally like we saw into May.. like 1929 lower int did nothing... once March lows taken out on cash SPX  and COMP you will see fear finally...
HW: If that happens, yes.  But I don’t think in September. October is possible as is 2002, but 2001 is still not MY bet.

READER: My Silver subscription is finished and I am considering Gold subscription. Is it possible to get an example of your Gold daily market comment before subscription? Because I am living in Europe, I wonder if you tell anything about European market in your daily market comments.
HW:  We don’t offer samples, as the $500 quarterly introductory fee is far less than the cost of one trade to the clients we are targeting: experienced traders who wish a financial astrological edge to augment their own trading system. Many active traders find they are able to make more money with less risk because of it. You can see view some of the 2001 WSNW Tracking Wall Street alerts issued to our clientele.
We don’t independently astrologically target European markets. Currently, they do follow US markets and we do post a preliminary market analysis most days at 4pm ET for the benefit our Asian and European clients.  These, however, may be revised and updated at 9am such as in the case of unexpected market news.
 
READER: I sign up for the gold membership, but am not receiving daily emails.  Am I missing something or have emails not been sent out.
HW: These are not emailed but are posted in our Daily market commentary in the Gold premium area of our website.  In addition to our Daily market commentary, you will find a lot of useful trading information, such as a monthly astrological calendar, technical support numbers, suggested stock trades etc.
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