WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK
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WALL STREET,
NEXT WEEK: September 3, 2001
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE
SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
According to WSJ, short interest in Nasdaq stocks rose to a record level
for the third month in a row. That of course is a compensatory positive market
factor. “Market watchers keep saying there is a light at the end of the tunnel
for technology companies, but the tunnel keeps getting longer and longer’
according to Harry Strunk, an investment advisor in Palm Beach.” Not
so! The tunnel length is defined by combining Saturn-Pluto aspects series
ending May 2002 and the beginning of the Jupiter Neptune opposition series
September 2002, in time for the midterm elections! Naturally, markets
anticipate several months in advance these changes in cosmic weather.
Last week, Japan's unemployment rate hit a record 5 percent, the highest
level in nearly 50 years, while its stock market fell to 17 year lows. US
Consumer confidence “unexpectedly” fell in August. Unexpected by whom?
Who says you can fool ALL of the people ALL of the time?
Be that as it may, next week will be an interesting test of the market, with
both the Sun and Moon T-squaring and therefore potentially activating aspects
of the Saturn-Pluto opposition. A number of technicians are measuring
current poor investor sentiment and expect a "shake out". They
would ideally like to buy just AFER smaller investors, those that have been
the long-term believers in this Market, will need to finally give in to Market
pressures. That could happen with a retest of the Spring lows or with
the longer term October 1998 lows. I just don’t see it getting “that bad”
that soon. Maybe next year or in 2003. Still, be VERY cautious
about using margin and CASH will increasingly become king. Remember:
IT’S NOT OVER; IT’S JUST BEGINNING: Saturn-Opposition Pluto ends May 2002!
Prepare for the worst - If you are prepared, you can manage and prosper
if things go better which is likely. We see September as ending essentially
flat. However, this first week of September this major aspect can be
further triggered by T-squares of Sun and Moon.
KEYDATES: September 7
DJIA:
10,000 PIVOT
NASDAQ: 1800 PIVOT
US BONDS: Continue distribution
EURO:
Continue long term accumulation
2. SONY (SNE) which is now at 52 week lows and likely to be priced under
42 is quite a coup. This is for long term investors who wish a relatively
risk free 20% appreciation within 18 months. We will buy it within the next
three weeks as cheaply as market conditions will allow: 42? 40? 37?
For intermediate term traders, there is need to hedge the Yen which, while
objectively fair valued, is liked to depreciate to 124. Remember: You
own Japanese projects in your home, why not Japanese stocks in your portfolio?
3. Pierce Brosnan will drive an Aston Martin V12 Vanquish in the next Bond
film, discarding the BMW Z3 roadster and 750iL that were his car toys in
the last three films. "We are thrilled that Bond fans will get to see
James Bond back in the Aston Martin," said Robert Levin, an executive at
the MGM studio making the film. More thrilled is Aston Martin's owner,
Ford [US:F], which has won a major publicity coup by driving BMW out
of the picture. Ford hopes the starring role will help sales. We are
not so sure and continue to rate Ford (F) an under perform, at least until
Bond reappears on film in 2002.
The Economic Times recently reported that imports of foreign cars into India
has virtually stopped, and it's not because of the high import duties alone.
The cost of homologation - adapting a car for local conditions - is adding
lakhs to the final landed price, which some top-end models could be up to
Rs 2 million. Therefore, like Ford, we are avoiding fresh investments
in Indian Adrs until past the rainy season at least. Another reason
to wait is
ABCNEWS.com : India: Turn Off Sex and Turn on TV [http://www.abcnews.go.com/sections/world/DailyNews/india010831_TV.html]
-
“Call it birth control by the airwaves. At the prodding of its health minister,
India has decided to make TV sets cheaper, hoping to keep couples glued to
the shows — and away from each other. ‘Entertainment is an important component
of the population policy,’ the Times of India quoted health minister C.P.
Thakur as telling lawmakers in parliament. ‘We want people to watch television.’”
Although the birth place of the Kama Sutra, it seems better to review Indian
media properties! In the meantime, we will stick to the tried and true
computer stocks and pharmeuticals once closer to value pricing and the next
global IT rally.
4. “The equity markets still haven’t realized the full extent of the economic
slump. We still have a runaway mania in equities, especially in Nasdaq.
Earnings have evaporated and prices are still high. In fact, Nasdaq stocks
now have an infinite P/e ratio….Both Alan Greenspan and the President are
losing credibility, and that’s not a good sign.
HW: Yes, but a sign that financial astrologers saw coming and warned investors
about.
"It's a hunt-and-peck type market. Bargain hunters are looking for specific
issues, and their timetable is extremely short. It is an in-and-out mentality."
Alan Ackerman, executive vice president, Fahnestock
HW: One reasonable
"People are starting to look at the glass as half full, with the bulk of
the disappointments likely behind and earnings comparisons to get easier
sequentially."
David Powers, senior technology strategist Edward Jones
5. Yahoo - Bear Market May Be Investor Opportunity [http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/010901/business_markets_stocks_dc_2.html]
6. READER: RE: US BOAT LISPING…. dog paddle, butterfly or backstroke...
which will you use???
HW: I will continue to replace with Eurostock twins: DT for ATT, VOD for
AWE, NOK for MOT, etc.
READER: Still recommend DT? Price?
HW: Yes we do. We believe it is undervalued under 18 and so obviously
like it at current pricing. My recommendation is to whenever you think
the market won’t collapse, which means buy sometime after October or before
October.
READER: IBM new high confidence target is 84.30.
HW: I will be happy with 95! Depending on when- as I don’t’ believe our 8800
will be taken out on the DJIA.
READER: For Sept low probably not... but come Oct. could retest Oct 98 lows.....
IBM target is high confidence ... don't fade it.........
HW: Well, then, perhaps I should buy at 92 or half at 95 and half at
85 in case you are right. If this Friday is positive and not negative, however,
we may just buy at 95.
READER: Do you have a daily commentary on the Silver program, or does that
have to go to the Gold package? Also, Does the “Daily Commentary” give suggested
directions for the markets each day?
Hw: Gold is for traders and includes our daily market commentary. Silver
is for investors, and does not.
Yes to your second question.
READER: "Wednesday with its revised GDP is a market marker day" and your
definition is in the absence of other influences, astrological and news",
that is how the market is likely to act over the next market cycle ... but
if the market has, say, a positive reaction then that is how the market is
likely to be (in this case positive) over the next market cycle ...so
what is your definition of "next market cycle" time/duration)?
HW: It varies with astrological influences each year. In this case, we are
looking to the next market marker day September 13 for blending [rather than
replacement] of the rather negative influences earlier.
READER: Only good thing about IHI price is I am buying this week for
friends, family etc and my hairdresser will go in when I see him next week!
How likely is it about the rumour re getting a contract with Olympic Games?
HW: I don’t comment on rumors. IHI* has interested parties from all
over the world constantly expressing interest. It is my understanding
that IHI will not be accepting orders until October. If you cannot
wait until then, take a look to IHI’s Greek locational maps: Jupiter enters
prominence beginning this September.
READER: Do you have a price target for buying MSFT?
HW: This is difficult. We did suggest earlier buys at 40 and 50.
Clearly those numbers, or better, would be ideal, given strong astrological
favorable factors beginning mid-month. MSFT is a cash rich but very
overvalued stock (IMHO), and one with a business strategy that is increasingly
failing. If you like the company and want to own it, and if the
markets correct over the next week or two, buy it or wait until October in
case the market collapses. Should that happen, buy it with more confidence,
as it will be closer to its value pricing of about 37.
READER: Can you give any estimate as to when I can sell my CCCA*?
HW: I wish I knew.
READER: I was trying to get into AFUND 20 Telecom Stocks 2001/2... I need
a username and password. Does my subscription allow me to get into this area?
If so, do I have a USID and password
HW: Yes. You can access all silver premium posts as a Wall Street, Next Week
Subscriber. Your user name is XXX, password is XXX.
READER: Congratulations you have had some really good calls lately. Please
clarify this question for me.
What exactly is your definition of a pivot?
HW: Our price pivot defines our day trading strategy: Above it, I prefer
to trade on the long side; while below it, I would sell/short.
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TRADING BY THE STARS.
(c)
2001 All rights reserved. The Astrologers Fund
"Always a Stellar Performance"
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Author: INVESTING
BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY,TRADING BY THE
STARS (01)
May 17-19, 2001 Tenth Annual Astrology & Stock MarketConference
NYC
DISCLAIMER
: PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF
FUTURE FORECASTING ACCURACY OR PROFITABLE TRADING RESULTS.
INVESTORS ARE REMINDED TO PERFORM THEIR
OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION. ALWAYS
INDEPENDENLY INVESTIGATE AND FULLY UNDERSTAND ALL RISK EFORE MAKING
ANY INVESTMENT.
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Arising From Any Use Of Its Report Or It's Contents.
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In The Stocks and/or MarketInstruments Mentioned And May Buy Or
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In No Way A Representation To Buy Or Sell Securities, Bonds,
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* IHI and YJT are AFUND clients.
** From Cancall (O.CCCA) I received 2 million shares (free)
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