WALL STREET, NEXT WEEK
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WALL STREET,
NEXT WEEK: August 6, 2001
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY FOR THE SUCCESSFUL
INVESTOR AND TRADER
1. MARKETS & MEDIA
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. ASTRONUT
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
SPECIAL EARLY EDITION AUGUST 2
HOW DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS IS THIS AUGUST?
VERY! Be cautious, very, very cautious. If you are taking
high risk positions with your portfolio or still using significant margin,
then be very, very scared, too! A poor US economy is not yet a thing
of the past. The Federal Reserve may need to lower interest rates again if
economic performance is weaker than anticipated, Fed Chairman as Alan Greenspan
keeps saying.
I say: weaker than who anticipated - you or me Alan? I believe 2Q growth
was .45% and still forecast a –2.4% GDP drop for the current Quarter.
PROTECT: Raise cash, place protective stops, write covered calls,
buy puts.
This past week we saw how high the market can go short term; Next week,
we may know how low.
IT’S NOT ALMOST OVER; ITS JUST BEGINNING
Most companies laying off staff today are exercising more bad management
on top of their poor forecasting and planning. Wall Street is continually
heartened by government reports showing that consumer spending continues
to exceed income. Soon, very soon, consumers will curtail their spending habits.
“Consumer optimism in the U.S. economy “unexpectedly” fell
in July amid rising job losses from such companies as Lucent Technologies
Inc.” reported Bloomberg. How can this be unexpected? How???
Hence, we are very worried. While Markets do climb a wall of worry, we will
continue to worry at least until August 8/9.
BUY ON DIPS OR SELL ON RALLIES?
BOTH! - The former for “A” Stocks; the latter for dogs.
Do not rush. Investor prayers to Fed Alan for dog day relief August 21 will
have little lasting effect. This will represent a fairly good trade,
but in more cases far from a good long term investment opportunity.
KEY DATES: AUGUST 8
DJIA: S1 10,150 S2 10,000 S3 9800
NASDAQ: S1 1950 S2 1920 S3 1800
US BONDS: Accelerate distribution
NIKKEI Continue long term accumulation
I WILL BE INTERVIEWED ON CNNFN THIS COMING FRIDAY AUGUST 10 AT 2:30 PM
ET.
2. We recently gave up on ATT. We had waited and waited as we knew
it had superb astrological aspects early this year. But that they blew it
once again, and that its stock would only rise 40% with that much cosmic assistance,
we did not conceive of. We finally sold out after being disgusted watching
the incompetence and arrogance of their top management in a recent interview.
We are planning to do a Euro-Swap with Deutsche Telecom, similar to our recent
Motorola to Nokia. FYI: We are rather glad we did given Motorola’s
recent inability to forecast its future. If ever an industry needed
good financial astrologers, it is the Telecom sector. As for DT, we are hoping
for a testing of $20 as our buy signal. As for AWE, it is outperforming,
and we plan to sell at 20.50 OB.
IHI* MILESTONE: From my book INVESTING BY THE STARS (page 178):
“Coming transits include the Jupiter-Uranus conjunction of February
16, 1997, exactly on the IC of the IHI Bermuda chart.”
This is the DAY that Kahalil of International Trade Circle was introduced
to IHI.
One part of my initial astrological work for IHI was based on Astrocartography.
I then proposed several corporate offices/major profit centers for IHI: These
included New York, Luxembourg AND the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia/UAE.
If you are an IHITF shareholder or prospective shareholder, I advise you read
their current press release of July 26 VERY carefully. On the basis of this
company news, we officially upgraded our IHI strong BUY to aggressive growth
small cap (from aggressive speculation).
3. The lights are still on at Lucent HQ, but it's only one fluorescent
bulb per cubicle instead of the usual four. The free coffee is no more. The
once manicured lawn at headquarters need care, but they won’t pay for
a gardener. It's necessary for us to make sure that every dollar we spend
on expenses is a necessary dollar to spend," spokesman John Skalko said.
Coffee at company’s meetings IS necessary for improving corporate
morale. Obviously management can't see the forest for the trees. "These
are tough times and we're in a fight. It's a tough fight," Skalko said.
To date, Lucent is responding as a loser. Our communications director, a
coffee aficionado agrees. She believes any company that removes a coffee
perk will have more lethargic workers early in the morning and therefore
will obviously fall further behind in highly competitive industries. While
Lucent stock is beaten up and likely to go up intermediate term, if only
on buy out rumors, we recommend reducing positions and Selling on rallies
above 10 or better.
As all serious Nordic watchers know, Helsinki last week experienced its
largest power cut in 15 years. Almost all of Helsinki was reportedly without
power for half an hour after lightning struck a power cable in the east
of the city. The power cut also affected the metro, the trains and the trams.
Clearly a sign from Heaven, we sold more of our July
STOCK OF THE MONTH CLUB 2001 Nokia (NOK). Perhaps we will buy
it back cheaper after B-Day. Perhaps we were just being superstitious
and foolish. Time will tell.
4. "A lot companies have taken huge charges and have had big layoffs.
Some people think the bottom is here."
Rashad Barajakly, analyst, Williams Capital Group
HW: For some stocks yes, for others not so. Let’s look again after
August 8th.
"We're in a profit recession, and it's not going to end. It's got another
quarter, maybe two quarters, of life left."
David Sowerby, market strategist, Loomis Sayles
HW: Two or Three by my count.
"There's a reality setting in that earnings haven't been particularly
good."
Terry Diamond, chairman, Talon Asset Management
HW: Well, Duh!
5. "Despite increasing demand, we continue to avoid traditional
computer companies that are primarily equipment manufacturers since hardware
continues to become more and more commodified. Increasingly, competition
will be brutal; especially as the consumer electronics companies such as
Sony continue to make inroads. The exceptions are those like IBM that
derive substantial revenue from software and services, the two subsectors
we continue to like. Unfortunately valuations are sky high. Similarly,
despite soaring usage of the Internet, we prefer to avoid new purchases in
this subsector as well until there is some value semblance."
How true were our forecasts last year! Now, however, pockets of
value are being created. Cosmic Value investors will reap their rewards
by holding fast to their principles until closer to the end of the Saturn-Pluto
oppositions in May 2002. Many TMT will get a 10-20% daily pop on outperforming
diminished expectations. We will Sell them unless they remain undervalued
and are likely to outperform the markets longer term, e.g. IBM.
All WSNW subscribers are advised to review our stock additions and deletions
and updated price forecasts for 2001/2002 in the computer and telecom sectors
at:
AFUND 20 Telecom
Stocks 2001/2 and
AFUND 20 Computer Stocks 2001/2.
Similarly, Platinum subscribers may see our latest views and price targets
at FINANCE Stocks 2001-2002
and Media Stocks 2001-2002
.
6. READER: Saw you on Unsolved Mysteries last evening. Great job! For
me, the mystery WAS solved.
HW: Thank you.
READER: What gold stocks would you recommend? Price target? Or do
you recommend just buying gold?
HW: I prefer physical gold and especially view December Gold futures as
having a very advantageous risk/reward ratio. I preferred unhedged
midcaps such as PDG and GG on the stock side.
READER: Do you see any reversal in Lucent anytime in the next few years?
HW: Before or after it is bought out? The stock will go up, but
we advise selling any significant rally.
READER: [re: B-Day1:] Interesting as I have a Lindsay count that is up
at that time which would say FREE FALL starting July 25 or 26th.... amazing....
great minds think alike..
HW: Or perhaps have a similar connection to the great CPU in the sky.
READER: Good job done by you on IHI*. Congratulations for your Astro-Inputs
for this company!
HW: You are welcome
READER: Henry, do you now agree with me that NASDAQ could touch 1492 level
? Charts did indicate this level a couple of months back and they strongly
reflect the same now.
HW: Still don’t see 1800 broken nor 1600, but we are obviously
in one of two VERY dangerous periods these next two weeks.
READER: I read your piece on IHI recently, having bought it on your site's
recommendation @.75 late last year. Since then it got up to .82 and back
down into the .60's. I've yet to see it reach near or over a dollar. I hope
it won't take too much more time.
BTW, if one were interested in buying one of their houses, when do you
think it will be possible to do so -- turn of the year?
HW: Impatience is a great enemy of successful investing and trading.
There is too much demand for a single home order to be accepted unless you
are a developer higher up on the queue with an order for 500 or more. 2003
is more realistic for a single order.
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WALL STREET NEXT WEEK REPORTS
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TRADING BY THE STARS.
(c)
2001 All rights reserved. The Astrologers Fund
"Always a Stellar Performance"
wsnw@Afund.com
212/949-7211 Fax 212/949-7274 370 Lexington Avenue, Suite
416 New York, N.Y. 10017-6503
Author: INVESTING
BY THE STARS, THE STUDY OF ASTROLOGY,TRADING BY THE
STARS (01)
May 17-19, 2001 Tenth Annual Astrology & Stock MarketConference
NYC
DISCLAIMER: PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE
OF FUTURE FORECASTING ACCURACY OR PROFITABLE TRADING
RESULTS.
INVESTORS ARE REMINDED TO PERFORM THEIR
OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION. ALWAYS
INDEPENDENLY INVESTIGATE AND FULLY UNDERSTAND ALL RISK EFORE MAKING
ANY INVESTMENT.
The Astrologers Fund Inc. Accepts
No Liability Whatsoever For Any Loss
Arising From Any Use Of Its Report Or It's Contents.
The AstrologersFund Inc. Or Its Clients Usually Holds Positions
In The Stocks and/or MarketInstruments Mentioned And May Buy Or Sell
At Any Time Without Notice depending on market conditions and
personal financial conditions. This InformationIs
In No Way A Representation To Buy Or Sell Securities, Bonds,
Options Or Futures. This information is not intended to be
used as the sole basis of any investment decisions, nor
should it be construedas advice designed to meet the investment needs
of any particular investor.
ALWAYS CHECK WITH YOUR LICENSED
FINANCIAL PLANNER OR BROKER BEFORE BUYING OR SELLING
ON THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE ASTROLOGERS FUND
Inc.
* IHI is an AFUND client.
** We will be reporting on Cancall (O.CCCA) over the summer.
This is a company that I received 2 million shares (free) with
10 million additional shares optioned at .02. I have
also bought in the open market for clients and myself. Naturally
I am MOST eager to see them become VERY successful.
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